inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 81 Excitement6.7 [510] MVPWesley Matthews (DAL): +24.8%
Dallas Mavericks 91 Comeback3.6 [205] LVPDeron Williams (DAL): -16.0%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.12,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.020.11-0.031365%0.314-0.1600%0.00
Anthony Davis0.120,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.160.020.062262%0.202-0.091486%0.06
Solomon Hill0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.00675%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Omer Asik0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.001100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.030.01542%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Alexis Ajinca-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.01633%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Anthony Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.04940%0.004-0.102100%0.01
E'Twaun Moore-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Terrence Jones-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.0050%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.250.250.130.150.031470%0.281-0.03250%-0.02
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.06-0.00774%0.182-0.04580%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.020.09-0.042444%0.161-0.054100%0.04
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.00856%0.092-0.062100%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01350%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.02-0.04736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jonathan Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.050.0010%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.020.011039%-0.035-0.133100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.426.914.724.52.432.5127.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +43.0%
DAL +0.2%
NOP -1.2%
DAL +4.9%
DAL +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDALNBANOPDALNBA
this game15.017.814.891.0104.6107.7
season14.116.2104.1104.4
opponent14.715.0107.2106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP16.314.414.315.015.0
DAL15.716.220.019.617.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Jones25250.22-0.720.950.133-131614.515.2-0.6716.218.4-2.13
Alexis Ajinca890.09-0.590.68-0.034-141812.515.2-2.7515.718.0-2.33
Anthony Brown17180.07-0.570.63-0.054-141814.515.1-0.5820.117.12.97
Omer Asik1313-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-101016.814.72.0715.518.1-2.61
Buddy Hield3230-0.03-0.470.43-0.01-1-9814.715.2-0.4916.518.4-1.87
E'Twaun Moore3838-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-6-4-215.114.90.1819.016.82.25
Langston Galloway4544-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-7-3-415.114.90.1316.519.0-2.55
Jrue Holiday6057-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-7-3-414.416.2-1.8417.518.2-0.67
Solomon Hill7774-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.18-100-1015.313.22.1218.115.52.61
Tim Frazier5656-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-111-1215.314.50.7718.616.22.48
Anthony Davis7471-0.860.36-1.21-0.30-199-2815.213.81.4418.116.41.70

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Matthews68700.88-0.381.250.2920-103018.016.81.2415.313.91.41
Dwight Powell47480.70-0.200.910.4782617.318.3-1.0514.116.0-1.90
Dorian Finney-Smith44450.63-0.130.770.4082618.716.81.8715.714.31.35
Seth Curry61640.55-0.050.600.1414-41817.418.6-1.1714.616.0-1.39
Harrison Barnes74770.320.180.140.1564217.817.30.5315.114.50.58
Andrew Bogut5353-0.030.53-0.55-0.2064218.117.30.8115.714.01.68
Justin Anderson4344-0.130.63-0.77-0.1928-616.818.7-1.8714.315.7-1.35
Deron Williams3837-0.160.66-0.820.07-818-2617.917.60.2915.115.00.09
Jonathan Gibson77-0.260.76-1.03-0.09-616-2217.317.8-0.5115.315.00.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 67, DEN 760.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,192.2%
MIA 95, SAS 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.91,1,192.1%
SEA 98, HOU 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.48,0.33,0.18,0.24,0.53,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.95,191.8%