NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	4.1 [979]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +6.8%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.2 [859]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	78%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	7	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	18	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	16	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	0.04	11	58%	-0.04	4	-0.09	11	64%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	69%	0.10	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	10	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	59%	0.00	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.0	29.2	15.3	23.7	2.5	24.6	120.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.4%

NJN +2.2%

PHX -5.6%

NJN +11.6%

NJN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.5	94.9	107.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.0		101.1	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	17.7	14.6	14.1	15.2
NJN	14.8	15.0	12.5	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	43	45	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-20	27	14.3	15.8	-1.47	14.9	13.4	1.46
Casey Jacobsen	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-18	23	14.8	15.3	-0.50	15.1	13.5	1.58
Bo Outlaw	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-9	5	16.4	14.6	1.84	16.1	13.3	2.80
Dan Langhi	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-12	11	14.1	15.8	-1.74	14.2	14.0	0.14
Joe Johnson	65	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-12	11	15.0	15.4	-0.32	14.5	13.2	1.29
Jake Tsakalidis	32	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	15.5	15.0	0.52	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Anfernee Hardaway	37	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.7	14.8	0.84	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Shawn Marion	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	2	-17	15.4	14.7	0.64	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-3	-7	15.3	14.7	0.57	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Stephon Marbury	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	15.2	15.0	0.18	13.5	15.4	-1.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.21	29	-16	45	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.9	13.7	2.19
Jason Collins	53	53	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-7	27	12.7	15.7	-2.96	15.4	14.9	0.45
Lucious Harris	50	51	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-7	27	13.3	14.9	-1.52	16.0	14.2	1.85
Jason Kidd	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-7	27	12.8	16.6	-3.80	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Kenyon Martin	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-7	27	13.5	15.5	-1.98	16.5	12.3	4.19
Brandon Armstrong	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	15.1	14.0	1.12	10.0	15.7	-5.74
Brian Scalabrine	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	24	-35	15.8	13.8	1.97	10.2	15.9	-5.68
Anthony Johnson	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	20	-27	16.6	12.8	3.80	15.2	15.1	0.09
Tamar Slay	49	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	20	-27	14.9	13.3	1.52	14.2	16.0	-1.85
Rodney Rogers	43	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	18	-23	14.4	13.8	0.62	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Aaron Williams	46	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	20	-27	15.7	12.7	2.96	14.9	15.4	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, ORL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 84, NJN 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 70, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%