NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	4.2 [958]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +9.3%
Orlando Magic	122		Comeback	3.9 [580]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -11.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.03	0.07	16	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	10	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.02	-0.09	13	24%	-0.08	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	11	23%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	75%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.08
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	57%	-0.04	2	0.00	11	91%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.01	22	51%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.2	2.4	30.1	16.4	34.5	1.8	31.3	151.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.3%

BOS -1.3%

ORL +15.9%

BOS -8.6%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.2	92.6	123.2	101.7
season	14.7	13.6		102.4	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	16.4	17.8	13.5	15.6
ORL	15.2	11.9	14.3	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	24	27	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.12	-1	-34	33	12.3	16.7	-4.41	15.0	14.0	0.96
Doug Overton	12	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-33	31	18.2	15.2	3.02	14.7	14.2	0.46
Calbert Cheaney	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-33	31	10.3	16.0	-5.64	15.3	14.2	1.10
Danny Fortson	26	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-28	21	14.8	15.9	-1.12	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Walter McCarty	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.39	-18	-17	-1	14.3	16.4	-2.17	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Kenny Anderson	44	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.33	-16	-19	3	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.7	13.9	0.76
Adrian Griffin	53	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-22	9	15.1	16.3	-1.24	12.5	16.5	-3.98
Eric Williams	34	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.40	-24	-11	-13	18.1	14.2	3.96	17.3	12.5	4.74
Dana Barros	53	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-16	-3	14.5	17.0	-2.50	13.3	15.7	-2.42
Paul Pierce	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.34	-24	-11	-13	15.5	16.0	-0.49	15.0	11.9	3.10
Vitaly Potapenko	49	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	-13	-9	17.4	13.7	3.66	14.6	14.0	0.60
Antoine Walker	61	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	-8	-19	16.8	13.4	3.47	14.1	14.6	-0.53

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	63	62	0.77	-0.27	1.04	-0.34	38	-3	41	14.4	14.1	0.28	17.0	12.8	4.20
Ron Mercer	53	52	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.28	34	1	33	13.8	14.7	-0.89	17.6	13.1	4.47
Ben Wallace	57	54	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.28	31	4	27	13.8	14.9	-1.03	16.6	14.2	2.38
John Amaechi	22	24	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	16	3	13.7	14.4	-0.75	17.0	15.1	1.86
Chucky Atkins	35	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	20	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.72	16.4	15.2	1.15
Pat Garrity	60	57	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.51	23	12	11	13.3	15.7	-2.36	15.7	15.5	0.22
Darrell Armstrong	35	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	30	-25	13.9	14.5	-0.58	16.7	15.0	1.66
Anthony Johnson	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.37	13	22	-9	14.8	14.0	0.72	13.5	16.5	-3.07
Derek Strong	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	31	-27	13.9	14.3	-0.39	12.1	16.3	-4.22
Corey Maggette	47	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.29	3	32	-29	14.4	14.1	0.35	13.2	17.7	-4.48
Michael Doleac	40	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	42	-49	16.5	12.8	3.71	14.7	16.2	-1.54
Monty Williams	37	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.20	-3	38	-41	15.1	13.8	1.35	12.8	17.1	-4.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 84, NJN 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
BOS 102, WAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%