NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	4.0 [1016]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +13.7%
Washington Wizards	121		Comeback	3.5 [582]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -10.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	14	68%	0.13	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	59%	-0.02	2	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	9	28%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.02	0.11	16	81%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	9	86%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	-0.06	25	46%	0.05	7	-0.08	9	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	7	81%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	29.5	17.4	32.4	2.8	32.3	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +19.7%

WAS +7.8%

WAS +16.0%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.8	101.0	119.8	107.7
season	14.7	14.4		110.1	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	15.0	15.0	11.7	14.0
WAS	16.2	13.8	12.1	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	48	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.28	15	-34	49	12.2	15.6	-3.39	15.6	13.5	2.13
Jonas Jerebko	5	5	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-24	29	15.6	13.9	1.67	15.2	14.5	0.73
Kelly Olynyk	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-20	21	13.6	14.4	-0.73	13.8	15.2	-1.48
James Young	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.0	14.2	-3.23	15.1	14.5	0.69
Tyler Zeller	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	11.4	14.4	-2.94	16.1	14.3	1.78
Jaylen Brown	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	11.3	14.5	-3.14	16.3	14.2	2.07
Gerald Green	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-14	9	12.9	14.3	-1.41	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Marcus Smart	59	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-14	9	13.7	14.4	-0.68	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Amir Johnson	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-6	-7	16.6	13.2	3.37	16.9	13.8	3.12
Isaiah Thomas	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.35	-28	9	-37	14.7	12.8	1.85	13.4	16.6	-3.14
Jae Crowder	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	0	-19	14.6	13.1	1.56	14.9	13.9	0.94
Avery Bradley	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	-1	-17	14.5	13.1	1.36	14.8	13.8	1.01
Al Horford	68	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.37	-36	17	-53	14.9	12.2	2.67	13.9	15.9	-2.01

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	53	54	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.27	34	-15	49	13.7	15.4	-1.78	15.8	11.9	3.88
Markieff Morris	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.25	31	-12	43	14.2	15.5	-1.35	14.5	12.7	1.77
Otto Porter Jr.	71	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.35	34	-15	49	13.8	16.2	-2.36	14.8	12.3	2.53
John Wall	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.13	25	-6	31	14.0	16.1	-2.05	13.9	14.5	-0.68
Bradley Beal	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	1	17	14.6	14.0	0.60	14.4	12.9	1.43
Trey Burke	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.1	14.5	0.69	11.0	14.2	-3.23
Sheldon McClellan	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.1	14.5	0.69	11.0	14.2	-3.23
Jason Smith	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	27	-35	16.5	14.2	2.33	11.1	14.5	-3.41
Bojan Bogdanovic	45	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	27	-35	15.4	13.8	1.65	13.2	14.7	-1.45
Tomas Satoransky	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	25	-31	15.2	14.4	0.75	12.9	14.2	-1.24
Brandon Jennings	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	29	-39	15.2	14.1	1.04	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Ian Mahinmi	28	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	32	-45	15.8	14.0	1.82	12.7	14.5	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, ORL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NJN 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	94.2%
PHX 93, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%