NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	4.8 [877]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (NJN): +12.6%
New Orleans Hornets	102		Comeback	2.4 [722]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -19.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	-0.01	9	84%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	19	49%	-0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	11	21%	-0.11	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	18	66%	0.16	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.2	15.7	26.1	2.5	31.5	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +34.2%

NOH +5.8%

NOH +2.8%

NOH +8.0%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	16.6	15.5	104.5	114.6	106.4
season	16.0	16.6		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	15.7	15.6	15.9	16.0
NOH	16.0	18.6	13.8	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-17	24	16.7	15.1	1.64	17.7	15.4	2.32
Eduardo Najera	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	18.0	15.3	2.62	22.0	14.8	7.19
Keyon Dooling	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-11	12	16.6	15.1	1.49	16.7	16.4	0.24
Josh Boone	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	17.4	15.3	2.16	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Ryan Anderson	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.8	16.6	-1.72	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Brook Lopez	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-6	2	15.3	17.4	-2.16	16.9	15.9	1.01
Bobby Simmons	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	15.5	17.5	-1.94	15.2	22.1	-6.86
Devin Harris	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	5	-20	15.4	16.7	-1.31	15.8	17.7	-1.91
Vince Carter	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	2	-14	15.7	19.2	-3.45	16.2	21.7	-5.45

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-7	24	16.0	19.5	-3.46	15.2	19.4	-4.15
Sean Marks	45	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-10	30	17.2	15.9	1.29	16.2	15.7	0.55
Chris Paul	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	15.2	23.5	-8.36	15.4	18.9	-3.51
Rasual Butler	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-1	12	15.2	21.4	-6.28	15.2	18.6	-3.35
Melvin Ely	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	16.5	16.7	-0.26	15.6	16.5	-0.86
James Posey	55	53	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	16	-22	16.5	16.7	-0.15	16.4	15.3	1.11
Julian Wright	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	18.3	15.0	3.23	16.9	15.1	1.82
Antonio Daniels	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	9	-8	23.2	14.9	8.32	18.8	15.2	3.55
Morris Peterson	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	15	-20	20.0	16.2	3.80	20.0	15.5	4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, HOU 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NOH 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 90, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%