NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	4.6 [933]		MVP	Chris Paul (HOU): +31.4%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	2.2 [966]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MIN): -10.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keita Bates-Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.04	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	-0.02	-0.11	22	45%	0.05	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	41%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	120%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Terrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Reynolds	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.09	14	66%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.24	0.05	-0.02	12	93%	0.33	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.03	0.06	11	74%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	87%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	24	42%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	0.05	12	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	25.0	14.8	29.4	3.4	28.6	128.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.5%

HOU +5.2%

MIN -10.9%

HOU +12.7%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	14.0	14.3	105.2	119.4	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		110.2	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		109.3	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	16.0	16.3	14.9	15.6
HOU	15.6	12.3	14.4	13.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keita Bates-Diop	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.28	11	-26	37	14.0	16.5	-2.48	14.2	13.9	0.37
Gorgui Dieng	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.8	15.8	-3.06	12.3	14.2	-1.88
Jared Terrell	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-23	31	9.6	16.0	-6.45	12.6	14.1	-1.49
Cameron Reynolds	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-24	33	12.6	16.9	-4.28	15.0	13.5	1.45
Anthony Tolliver	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-15	15	15.2	15.7	-0.47	14.4	13.8	0.59
Taj Gibson	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-15	15	15.7	15.4	0.34	14.6	13.5	1.05
Jerryd Bayless	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	15.3	15.7	-0.36	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Tyus Jones	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.18	-19	4	-23	16.4	14.3	2.13	14.3	13.6	0.74
Dario Saric	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.28	-23	8	-31	16.3	14.9	1.40	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Karl-Anthony Towns	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	3	-21	16.2	14.7	1.49	14.1	13.9	0.19
Josh Okogie	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-2	-11	16.2	13.9	2.26	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Andrew Wiggins	64	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.28	-29	14	-43	16.5	13.7	2.77	13.7	14.6	-0.94

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	52	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.13	25	-10	35	13.2	14.8	-1.62	17.2	13.8	3.42
Clint Capela	61	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.23	27	-12	39	13.8	14.4	-0.62	16.7	13.8	2.86
Chris Paul	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-11	37	13.6	14.6	-0.92	15.1	16.2	-1.07
James Harden	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	-5	25	13.7	14.6	-0.90	16.8	13.1	3.74
PJ Tucker	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	-4	23	13.8	14.2	-0.39	16.9	14.3	2.59
Danuel House Jr.	59	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	17	-19	14.8	12.8	1.98	14.3	17.3	-2.96
Gary Clark	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	12.6	14.1	-1.49	9.6	16.0	-6.45
Iman Shumpert	63	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.28	-10	25	-35	14.4	13.2	1.18	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Gerald Green	40	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	25	-35	14.7	13.5	1.20	14.2	16.6	-2.45
Nene	37	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	27	-39	14.4	13.8	0.62	13.8	16.7	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	95.6%
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DET 86, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%