NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	4.4 [912]		MVP	Devin Brown (NOH): +20.1%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	3.0 [466]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): -16.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.00	-0.01	9	100%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.03	0.10	14	54%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	5	22%	-0.08	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	17	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	20	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	26.5	16.3	27.4	2.5	23.7	124.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.5%

CHI +3.5%

CHI +24.2%

NOH -2.4%

CHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.3	86.7	100.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		106.0	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.1	16.2	16.9	13.1	14.8
CHI	14.0	13.8	13.8	18.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	27	25	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-22	33	12.1	15.8	-3.71	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Darren Collison	28	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-14	17	14.2	15.0	-0.82	17.1	14.1	2.99
Bobby Brown	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	13.8	14.9	-1.06	18.7	14.4	4.29
James Posey	44	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-10	9	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.4	14.6	0.85
Darius Songaila	55	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-10	9	14.3	15.4	-1.16	15.8	13.9	1.89
Marcus Thornton	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-9	7	14.2	15.0	-0.82	15.7	14.6	1.08
Emeka Okafor	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	15.3	14.4	0.87	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Devin Brown	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	14.5	15.3	-0.86	14.8	15.2	-0.48
Chris Paul	81	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	1	-13	14.9	14.1	0.85	14.4	17.5	-3.09
Peja Stojakovic	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	5	-21	15.5	13.8	1.69	13.9	16.4	-2.52
David West	51	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	8	-27	16.2	13.2	2.94	14.0	16.0	-2.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	80	80	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.07	21	-10	31	14.5	17.0	-2.49	15.2	12.8	2.37
Joakim Noah	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.06	18	-7	25	14.8	15.3	-0.52	15.3	13.4	1.82
Luol Deng	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-6	23	15.3	13.0	2.28	15.4	11.8	3.56
Kirk Hinrich	71	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-2	15	15.4	13.6	1.74	14.9	14.5	0.41
Taj Gibson	17	19	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	1	9	12.9	15.4	-2.48	15.8	14.5	1.27
Tyrus Thomas	65	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	11	-11	15.3	14.2	1.08	13.8	16.8	-3.04
Jannero Pargo	4	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	13	-15	16.2	14.9	1.38	11.6	14.9	-3.34
John Salmons	46	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	18	-25	14.9	14.9	0.01	14.5	15.0	-0.56
Brad Miller	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	15	-19	12.7	15.2	-2.49	12.8	15.0	-2.20
James Johnson	34	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	22	-33	15.4	14.7	0.66	13.9	15.2	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	95.2%
DEN 90, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%