NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	4.1 [985]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +7.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	2.4 [1042]		LVP	Donnell Harvey (DEN): -8.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	9	77%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	55%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	12	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	7	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	15	73%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	15	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	27.2	15.4	26.6	2.6	33.3	128.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.0%

POR +6.0%

POR +2.0%

POR +4.1%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.6	94.7	108.6	102.3
season	16.1	16.0		99.7	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.7	14.5	15.5	16.1	15.2
POR	17.2	16.2	13.2	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	54	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-18	25	15.2	15.3	-0.10	16.2	14.5	1.74
Voshon Lenard	49	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.9	13.4	3.57	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Kenny Satterfield	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.7	1.37	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Zendon Hamilton	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	15.7	15.0	0.69	13.6	16.3	-2.73
Juwan Howard	69	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.1	15.5	-0.45	16.1	13.9	2.22
Tim Hardaway	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	14.5	16.0	-1.48	16.2	14.5	1.69
Calbert Cheaney	52	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.9	14.8	1.13
George McCloud	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.7	14.4	1.32	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Scott Williams	29	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	3	-17	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.8	15.7	-0.93
James Posey	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	13.7	16.7	-2.95	15.8	15.0	0.83

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	63	64	0.72	-0.22	0.95	-0.33	36	-25	61	15.0	16.4	-1.43	15.3	15.0	0.31
Derek Anderson	71	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	-14	39	15.1	16.5	-1.40	15.4	14.7	0.70
Bonzi Wells	67	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-12	35	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.6	14.1	1.53
Damon Stoudamire	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-6	23	15.6	14.9	0.67	15.8	12.8	2.96
Rasheed Wallace	73	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	1	9	15.8	14.2	1.57	16.0	12.3	3.69
Rick Brunson	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	14	-17	14.7	15.6	-0.92	12.5	16.0	-3.47
Steve Kerr	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	17	-23	15.5	15.4	0.15	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Erick Barkley	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	13.7	15.6	-1.86	6.7	15.8	-9.12
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	13.7	15.6	-1.86	10.1	15.6	-5.47
Ruben Patterson	24	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.21	-14	25	-39	17.2	14.8	2.40	16.4	14.8	1.61
Chris Dudley	30	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.45	-23	34	-57	16.4	15.0	1.43	14.5	15.6	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	95.0%