NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	84		Excitement	3.6 [1053]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +12.3%
New Jersey Nets	108		Comeback	3.6 [615]		LVP	Joel Przybilla (MIL): -6.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.04	-0.07	9	68%	0.13	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	47%	-0.01	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	43%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	18	42%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.05	15	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	14	59%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	13	63%	0.07	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	-0.10	5	29%	-0.03	2	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.4	27.5	14.7	23.2	1.8	27.3	117.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.2%

NJN +14.9%

NJN +4.9%

NJN +10.5%

MIL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.6	87.5	112.5	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		104.7	101.4
opponent	16.0	16.0		98.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.6	18.1	14.4	15.7
NJN	15.2	13.2	13.2	15.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-24	24	11.7	16.1	-4.43	14.9	14.3	0.63
Michael Redd	57	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.18	-7	-17	10	15.8	15.5	0.22	14.8	13.6	1.21
Greg Anthony	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-17	10	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.3	14.3	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	15	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-19	14	16.6	15.5	1.11	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Ray Allen	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-9	-6	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.7	13.0	1.79
Joel Przybilla	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-13	2	15.9	15.5	0.38	14.5	14.2	0.28
Sam Cassell	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-7	-10	15.9	15.3	0.60	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Anthony Mason	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	-2	-20	16.4	13.7	2.76	14.1	14.9	-0.72
Darvin Ham	60	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	1	-26	14.9	16.9	-2.04	13.8	15.1	-1.23

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.75	-0.25	0.99	-0.40	39	-15	54	13.7	15.7	-1.99	17.2	12.3	4.95
Aaron Williams	57	57	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.26	33	-9	42	13.5	15.6	-2.07	17.1	13.6	3.54
Keith Van Horn	60	61	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.25	32	-8	40	13.7	15.4	-1.78	16.9	13.6	3.25
Kenyon Martin	62	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.19	27	-3	30	13.4	16.1	-2.67	16.7	13.7	3.00
Kerry Kittles	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	8	8	14.0	15.1	-1.07	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Donny Marshall	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	15.4	14.2	1.23	11.9	16.0	-4.14
Brandon Armstrong	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	15.4	14.2	1.23	11.9	16.0	-4.14
Brian Scalabrine	29	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	28	-32	15.9	13.6	2.29	13.8	16.4	-2.66
Anthony Johnson	48	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	32	-40	15.4	13.2	2.17	14.4	16.9	-2.43
Richard Jefferson	32	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	32	-40	15.7	13.7	1.98	14.0	16.5	-2.55
Jason Collins	39	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	33	-42	15.6	13.5	2.07	13.6	17.1	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 89, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 87, ORL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%