NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	4.2 [996]		MVP	Enes Kanter (POR): +9.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	2.7 [928]		LVP	Ivan Rabb (MEM): -9.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Caboclo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	55%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Julian Washburn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Dusty Hannahs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	48%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	10	59%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	10	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	18	53%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	7	93%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.4	14.6	22.8	1.7	25.2	114.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.1%

POR +7.1%

POR +23.7%

MEM -1.9%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.3	92.7	120.8	109.3
season	15.4	14.9		105.4	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.2		109.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	15.2	13.3	13.9	14.1
POR	16.7	15.4	16.2	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	40	40	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-27	27	13.8	14.2	-0.36	17.4	14.9	2.59
Bruno Caboclo	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-24	21	14.0	14.1	-0.06	17.1	15.2	1.98
Dusty Hannahs	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	-19	11	14.2	14.0	0.14	16.5	15.8	0.69
Jevon Carter	46	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-19	11	15.0	13.2	1.76	16.7	15.3	1.42
Julian Washburn	50	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-19	11	13.6	14.6	-0.97	16.0	15.9	0.14
Delon Wright	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-17	7	13.6	14.8	-1.26	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Chandler Parsons	50	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-10	-7	14.7	13.4	1.29	16.3	15.6	0.75
Ivan Rabb	65	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	-2	-23	13.9	14.4	-0.43	15.0	17.9	-2.95
Justin Holiday	61	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.22	-27	0	-27	13.9	14.4	-0.53	15.4	16.9	-1.46
Tyler Dorsey	47	47	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.26	-29	2	-31	14.2	13.9	0.29	14.6	17.2	-2.67

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	58	59	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.07	25	2	23	15.4	16.7	-1.24	14.2	13.8	0.37
Enes Kanter	50	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.04	23	4	19	15.5	16.4	-0.87	14.6	13.4	1.21
Maurice Harkless	55	56	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	6	15	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.6	13.3	1.26
Al-Farouq Aminu	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	18	-9	16.3	15.7	0.54	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Rodney Hood	60	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	15	-3	16.5	14.9	1.59	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Seth Curry	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.37	18	9	9	15.7	16.2	-0.54	14.7	13.4	1.25
Evan Turner	56	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.46	21	6	15	15.7	16.3	-0.58	14.5	13.4	1.14
Gary Trent Jr.	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	14.5	16.2	-1.71	11.7	14.5	-2.85
Anfernee Simons	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	16.0	15.9	0.07	12.2	14.3	-2.12
Skal Labissiere	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	14.4	16.1	-1.78	12.2	14.3	-2.12
Zach Collins	46	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.26	4	23	-19	16.4	15.5	0.87	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Jake Layman	31	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.13	-1	28	-29	17.5	15.2	2.24	13.9	14.1	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 84, NJN 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAC 96, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%