NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	3.9 [999]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +14.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	113		Comeback	2.5 [992]		LVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): -12.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Hurley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	79%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	2	67%	0.02	1	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	-0.00	2	-0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Billy Owens	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	58%	0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Terry Dehere	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	4	120%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	18	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	6	14%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.8	1.8	33.6	13.0	26.3	2.7	24.4	147.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +35.7%

SEA +15.0%

SAC -6.0%

SEA +5.1%

SEA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	103.2	120.2	102.5
season	15.2	15.3		98.5	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		102.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	18.8	14.8	15.3	15.7
SEA	15.2	13.3	14.6	17.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	33	31	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-19	21	17.8	14.5	3.22	16.5	14.4	2.07
Bobby Hurley	37	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-22	27	16.7	15.0	1.66	16.9	14.0	2.90
Kevin Salvadori	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	9.0	16.0	-6.98	10.6	15.4	-4.78
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-14	11	16.9	15.4	1.52	12.2	15.7	-3.48
Lawrence Funderburke	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-16	15	16.4	14.9	1.53	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Mitch Richmond	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-5	-7	14.9	18.0	-3.09	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Corliss Williamson	57	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-4	-9	14.1	18.1	-3.97	15.2	15.1	0.11
Billy Owens	69	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	1	-19	15.9	15.0	0.97	15.7	13.4	2.30
Olden Polynice	59	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	3	-23	14.9	17.1	-2.22	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Terry Dehere	72	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.18	-27	10	-37	16.2	13.9	2.29	14.5	17.2	-2.74

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	64	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.12	25	-8	33	14.4	16.7	-2.31	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Detlef Schrempf	63	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-8	33	14.8	15.7	-0.92	15.1	16.8	-1.68
Hersey Hawkins	48	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	3	11	14.7	15.6	-0.90	14.9	16.4	-1.56
Jim McIlvaine	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	5	7	14.7	15.6	-0.88	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Vin Baker	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	11	-5	16.1	12.8	3.34	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Dale Ellis	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	5	7	14.8	15.5	-0.72	17.5	13.7	3.77
Sam Perkins	34	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	12	-7	15.2	15.1	0.17	16.9	14.9	1.94
David Wingate	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	16	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.83	16.4	15.1	1.28
Aaron Williams	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	22	-27	16.7	14.6	2.08	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Eric Snow	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.2	15.2	-1.00	10.1	16.2	-6.08
Greg Anthony	30	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	25	-33	16.7	14.4	2.31	15.8	15.6	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 118, MIN 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 89, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%