inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 70 Excitement3.9 [1054] MVPJames Posey (MIA): +13.3%
Miami Heat 97 Comeback2.7 [766] LVPTrenton Hassell (MIN): -9.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.04560%0.0410.0000%0.00
Eddie Griffin0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02575%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Ronald Dupree0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Mark Madsen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richie Frahm0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.01-0.041750%0.104-0.11450%-0.02
Kevin Garnett-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.01-0.061338%0.023-0.043100%0.02
Rashad McCants-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031441%-0.012-0.02450%-0.01
Troy Hudson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.04911%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Marko Jaric-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.030.02543%-0.031-0.044100%0.02
Trenton Hassell-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02617%-0.042-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.03-0.005110%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.01665%0.0900.00862%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.011100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.020.021554%0.073-0.07560%-0.02
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Wayne Simien00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01850%0.011-0.032100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.041267%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.02771%0.033-0.0500%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.031136%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.633.117.427.92.026.2131.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.8%
MIN -2.8%
MIA +7.2%
MIA +9.4%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game18.115.215.681.4111.5104.4
season16.115.5101.0106.1
opponent15.515.9102.3103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.219.419.417.918.1
MIA13.314.016.617.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen890.07-0.570.63-0.023-303320.217.92.339.715.8-6.14
Michael Olowokandi33340.02-0.520.550.29-9-18918.517.90.6616.514.32.13
Rashad McCants39420.01-0.510.53-0.073-303317.119.0-1.8516.014.41.60
Richie Frahm440.00-0.500.50-0.093-303318.718.10.6420.714.95.85
Ronald Dupree1515-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-313515.718.6-2.9115.315.20.11
Anthony Carter1617-0.02-0.480.470.31-11-16518.918.00.9816.115.01.10
Troy Hudson3534-0.17-0.330.150.47-22-5-1718.817.71.1115.515.00.49
Trenton Hassell4949-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-19-8-1118.417.80.6714.016.7-2.64
Marko Jaric5353-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.04-14-13-118.417.70.7214.516.2-1.70
Kevin Garnett7070-0.49-0.01-0.480.42-314-3518.118.2-0.1415.115.6-0.52
Wally Szczerbiak6464-0.570.07-0.650.04-21-6-1518.018.5-0.4815.414.50.88
Eddie Griffin4444-0.600.10-0.700.02-21-6-1517.918.4-0.5615.315.00.25

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey54540.64-0.140.77-0.012251715.115.2-0.0617.818.7-0.97
Udonis Haslem44440.58-0.080.66-0.012071314.715.7-1.0418.717.61.11
Jason Williams64630.55-0.050.59-0.102251715.813.32.4817.420.3-2.90
Dwyane Wade59620.440.060.39-0.352702713.818.1-4.2719.315.24.07
Alonzo Mourning35320.290.210.08-0.091314-115.814.71.1019.317.51.82
Shaquille O'Neal42440.210.29-0.09-0.231512314.715.6-0.8917.718.5-0.80
Shandon Anderson760.000.50-0.500.15-532-3716.415.11.3714.818.4-3.55
Michael Doleac990.000.50-0.50-0.03126-2515.215.20.0618.018.2-0.16
Wayne Simien760.000.50-0.500.15-532-3716.415.11.3714.818.4-3.55
Gary Payton4644-0.060.56-0.62-0.24621-1515.914.31.6217.618.7-1.08
Jason Kapono3230-0.060.56-0.62-0.27720-1314.915.3-0.3718.917.71.17
Antoine Walker3636-0.080.58-0.66-0.431215-315.614.90.6518.018.2-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 80, DEN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.3%
PHX 93, NJN 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
DEN 116, DET 1300.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%