NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	116		Excitement	4.1 [967]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +17.3%
Detroit Pistons	130		Comeback	2.9 [685]		LVP	Keon Clark (DEN): -9.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	18	69%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	73%	0.15	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	48%	0.01	0	0.00	9	67%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	78%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Herren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
George McCloud	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	11	58%	0.02	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.27	0.02	0.12	21	80%	0.20	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	68%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.05	-0.06	4	27%	0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	21	51%	-0.01	2	-0.04	11	82%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	26.4	15.5	29.4	2.3	29.7	131.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +3.8%

DET +16.8%

DEN -2.0%

DET +26.2%

DET +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DET	NBA	DEN	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	15.2	111.5	126.2	101.7
season	14.8	14.1		101.5	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.3	12.7	16.5	13.5	13.7
DET	12.5	15.6	13.5	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-26	38	11.5	13.9	-2.43	17.8	13.7	4.14
Chris Gatling	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-11	8	14.0	13.6	0.40	12.0	14.9	-2.92
Chris Herren	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-14	14	12.5	14.4	-1.92	14.4	14.0	0.44
James Posey	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-12	10	14.1	13.1	0.96	15.2	12.8	2.40
Keon Clark	74	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-14	14	13.3	14.6	-1.33	15.1	12.1	3.02
George McCloud	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-1	-12	13.9	13.5	0.41	12.7	15.3	-2.60
Nick Van Exel	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	3	-20	14.3	12.0	2.25	13.9	14.8	-0.93
Antonio McDyess	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.25	-22	8	-30	13.4	14.2	-0.81	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Ryan Bowen	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-7	0	13.2	13.9	-0.70	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Raef LaFrentz	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	4	-22	14.3	12.2	2.07	14.0	14.5	-0.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	49	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-8	30	13.3	14.9	-1.58	14.2	13.2	0.97
Jerry Stackhouse	72	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	0	14	13.8	15.1	-1.32	14.2	12.2	2.05
Michael Curry	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	4	6	14.3	14.1	0.18	13.2	14.1	-0.92
Lindsey Hunter	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	13.7	15.0	-1.35	14.4	12.4	1.98
Grant Hill	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	-1	16	13.7	15.2	-1.41	13.8	13.3	0.49
Christian Laettner	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	-2	18	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.9	11.3	3.59
Mikki Moore	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	13	-12	14.0	14.3	-0.24	13.2	14.0	-0.82
John Crotty	38	37	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	11	-8	15.0	13.7	1.35	12.4	14.4	-1.98
Terry Mills	26	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	13.1	14.5	-1.47	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Jud Buechler	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	20.2	13.6	6.63	10.3	14.0	-3.64
Loy Vaught	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	20.2	13.6	6.63	8.6	14.1	-5.45
Eric Montross	7	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	18	-22	19.4	13.8	5.64	10.6	13.9	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.0%
BOS 80, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%