NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	4.2 [966]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +13.9%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.1 [1128]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	18	79%	0.21	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.02	11	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	17	50%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Oliver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	18	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	21	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	14	36%	-0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	24.1	18.4	26.4	2.7	30.0	128.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +65.8%

GSW -5.1%

GSW -9.8%

SAC +0.1%

GSW -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.9	15.5	109.5	96.9	101.6
season	14.0	14.6		104.4	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.8	13.6	15.2	16.5	14.2
GSW	17.5	15.2	14.8	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	72	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-9	29	14.4	13.6	0.78	16.3	14.9	1.36
Bobby Jackson	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.04	22	-11	33	14.0	14.8	-0.87	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Chris Webber	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-3	17	14.2	14.2	0.00	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Doug Christie	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	2	7	14.2	13.6	0.68	15.4	22.1	-6.74
Peja Stojakovic	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-1	13	14.2	14.3	-0.15	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Hedo Turkoglu	37	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	15	-19	13.7	14.5	-0.86	16.5	15.6	0.91
Keon Clark	30	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	18	-25	14.3	14.1	0.19	17.1	15.4	1.65
Damon Jones	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	22	-33	14.8	14.0	0.87	17.0	15.6	1.39

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	35	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.31	13	-24	37	15.7	16.1	-0.37	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Mike Dunleavy	45	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-23	35	15.4	16.4	-0.99	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Dean Oliver	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	14.3	16.1	-1.78	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Jiri Welsch	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-7	3	14.6	16.1	-1.50	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Jason Richardson	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	16.0	15.7	0.29	14.3	13.8	0.50
Gilbert Arenas	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	16.1	14.3	1.78	14.3	13.7	0.59
Antawn Jamison	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	1	-13	15.7	18.0	-2.32	14.5	11.9	2.57
Erick Dampier	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	9	-29	16.8	14.3	2.51	14.8	13.1	1.67
Troy Murphy	72	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.09	-22	11	-33	16.1	15.6	0.49	13.8	15.3	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.2%
PHX 124, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.1%
ATL 110, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%