NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	108		Excitement	4.3 [955]		MVP	Josh McRoberts (CHA): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.0 [524]		LVP	Josh Smith (DET): -18.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.04	5	82%	0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	16	61%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	28	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.05
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	18	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	9	72%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	11	9%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	0.02	17	30%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.0	16.7	23.4	2.2	30.6	128.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +56.1%

CHA +5.1%

DET -10.9%

CHA +0.8%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.1	112.5	102.1	105.2
season	15.7	15.0		102.4	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.1	13.9	15.5	15.5	15.2
DET	15.9	16.1	15.8	12.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-4	20	15.7	14.5	1.16	16.2	13.0	3.13
Kemba Walker	87	85	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	2	8	15.2	15.6	-0.34	14.6	19.6	-4.97
Gerald Henderson	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-2	16	15.0	15.7	-0.70	15.5	14.1	1.44
Al Jefferson	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	3	6	15.3	15.2	0.06	14.5	17.4	-2.94
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	39	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	4	4	14.5	15.8	-1.33	15.5	14.7	0.76
Anthony Tolliver	57	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	8	-4	15.8	14.5	1.33	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Ramon Sessions	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	12	-12	15.7	14.9	0.76	15.3	14.9	0.45
Bismack Biyombo	20	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	9	-6	15.2	15.3	-0.06	17.4	14.5	2.94
Cody Zeller	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	16	-20	14.5	15.7	-1.16	13.0	16.2	-3.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	19.1	14.5	4.56	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.4	15.3	-0.85	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Will Bynum	38	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-14	16	14.4	15.5	-1.03	15.9	14.8	1.11
Rodney Stuckey	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-9	6	16.2	14.5	1.70	15.6	15.0	0.59
Andre Drummond	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	15.8	13.5	2.30	16.0	13.6	2.37
Kyle Singler	78	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-6	0	14.7	16.9	-2.18	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Greg Monroe	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	15.0	15.3	-0.33	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Brandon Jennings	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	3	-18	14.7	16.9	-2.18	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Josh Smith	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	3	-18	14.7	16.4	-1.70	15.2	15.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	96.3%
PHI 110, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	96.0%
DET 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%