NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	3.8 [1107]		MVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): +14.3%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.0 [715]		LVP	A.J. Price (IND): -8.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.03	-0.05	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	13	69%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.07	8	68%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	62%	0.07	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.21	0.01	0.07	14	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	54%	0.02	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	4	55%	-0.01	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.04	11	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	10	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	29.4	15.5	25.4	2.5	34.2	133.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.8%

IND -13.3%

PHI +8.4%

PHI +12.5%

PHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.5	113.4	103.1	105.7
season	15.5	14.7		104.6	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	14.3	17.1	17.4	16.2
IND	14.2	12.4	14.8	12.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-6	22	16.3	15.9	0.35	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Jrue Holiday	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-5	20	16.4	15.5	0.85	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Elton Brand	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	16.1	16.5	-0.45	13.8	12.8	1.02
Jodie Meeks	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	0	10	16.0	16.6	-0.66	13.9	12.8	1.09
Spencer Hawes	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	-2	14	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.2	12.4	2.88
Thaddeus Young	63	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	13	-16	16.4	15.9	0.44	12.7	14.9	-2.27
Lou Williams	29	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	12	-14	16.1	16.3	-0.18	13.4	13.5	-0.09
Marreese Speights	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	8	-6	16.0	16.3	-0.25	12.3	13.9	-1.58
Evan Turner	47	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.39	-13	23	-36	15.9	16.5	-0.56	13.2	13.7	-0.45

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	23	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	12.7	13.7	-1.01	16.7	16.1	0.56
A.J. Price	40	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-18	26	12.8	13.9	-1.04	16.5	16.1	0.40
Paul George	51	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-12	14	12.8	14.2	-1.47	16.7	15.7	1.00
Tyler Hansbrough	59	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-13	16	12.9	14.4	-1.49	16.9	15.0	1.91
Dahntay Jones	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-7	4	13.3	13.6	-0.21	17.0	15.5	1.48
Roy Hibbert	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-8	6	14.2	12.5	1.74	16.9	15.4	1.45
Darren Collison	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	6	-22	14.2	12.9	1.31	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Brandon Rush	43	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	2	-14	14.1	13.0	1.09	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Danny Granger	77	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	13.6	13.0	0.58	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Josh McRoberts	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.15	-20	10	-30	13.6	13.3	0.36	14.7	17.8	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 84, NOK 68	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
NYK 109, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%