NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	3.7 [1067]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): +7.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Comeback	1.0 [604]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.01	0.05	16	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	48%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	13	34%	-0.07	1	-0.03	9	44%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	-0.07	10	48%	0.05	6	-0.09	3	33%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	58%	0.00	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	13	21%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.02	0.05	24	43%	-0.12	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	23.4	15.4	28.9	1.8	28.2	122.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.5%

MIN -1.7%

MIN -2.1%

UTA +10.5%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.7	93.4	85.6	100.5
season	17.2	15.6		99.4	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.2		98.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	18.4	13.6	18.0	16.6
MIN	15.7	17.6	14.1	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	75	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-6	20	16.9	15.2	1.71	15.2	15.1	0.14
Matt Harpring	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	16.7	16.3	0.42	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Andrei Kirilenko	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-3	14	16.7	16.3	0.37	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Greg Ostertag	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	3	2	16.7	16.5	0.27	15.7	14.9	0.80
Raja Bell	47	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	7	-6	16.9	16.3	0.58	15.2	15.2	-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	54	54	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	6	-4	15.9	17.6	-1.78	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Jarron Collins	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	9	-10	16.4	16.8	-0.44	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Sasha Pavlovic	11	12	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	18.1	16.4	1.70	17.6	14.9	2.72
Curtis Borchardt	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	9	-10	16.6	16.6	-0.00	16.7	14.7	1.93
Raul Lopez	16	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	14	-20	15.2	16.9	-1.71	15.1	15.2	-0.14

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ndudi Ebi	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	6.0	15.3	-9.33	22.5	16.5	6.04
Gary Trent	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-13	18	15.8	14.9	0.87	16.3	16.8	-0.48
Quincy Lewis	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-10	12	12.1	15.7	-3.62	16.8	16.6	0.29
Trenton Hassell	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-11	14	15.0	15.5	-0.44	16.1	17.2	-1.15
Keith McLeod	41	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-10	12	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Mark Madsen	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	16.2	14.2	1.90	17.4	15.9	1.54
Michael Olowokandi	14	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.35	16.7	16.6	0.19
Fred Hoiberg	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-11	14	14.9	15.9	-1.05	16.5	16.8	-0.33
Sam Cassell	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	14.7	15.8	-1.07	17.6	15.5	2.09
Kevin Garnett	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	7	-22	15.4	13.7	1.71	16.3	18.5	-2.22
Latrell Sprewell	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.02	-18	10	-28	15.3	15.0	0.31	16.8	16.2	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.3%
ORL 100, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 97, NOH 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%