NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	3.8 [1024]		MVP	Devin Brown (NOH): +6.1%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	1.0 [751]		LVP	Darren Collison (NOH): -9.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	21	52%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
George Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	55%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	12	58%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	90%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	40%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	16	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	16	51%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	0.09	14	55%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	29.4	15.7	28.1	2.4	35.5	141.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.7%

NOH -5.2%

SAS +14.3%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOH	NBA	SAS	NOH	NBA
this game	17.1	15.2	15.3	110.2	100.0	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		108.2	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.2	15.5	18.2	18.6	17.1
NOH	17.2	15.8	16.0	12.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-10	27	16.8	18.3	-1.49	15.8	13.0	2.79
Manu Ginobili	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	17.5	16.2	1.29	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Tim Duncan	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	-2	11	17.0	17.6	-0.55	15.3	14.9	0.43
DeJuan Blair	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	-13	33	17.0	17.4	-0.38	16.7	12.4	4.39
George Hill	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	6	-5	17.3	16.6	0.74	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Antonio McDyess	29	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	8	-9	17.5	17.0	0.55	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Roger Mason Jr.	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	8	-9	16.0	17.6	-1.66	15.5	15.1	0.37
Keith Bogans	43	45	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	15	-23	17.9	16.5	1.39	14.2	16.3	-2.16
Matt Bonner	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	15	-23	16.5	17.2	-0.75	13.4	15.5	-2.10

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	20	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-14	21	13.0	15.9	-2.81	19.7	16.5	3.17
Emeka Okafor	24	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	16.4	14.8	1.61	16.6	17.4	-0.81
Darren Collison	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-8	9	15.2	15.2	0.03	17.6	16.9	0.77
James Posey	55	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-15	23	13.7	17.6	-3.92	17.5	16.5	1.00
Marcus Thornton	48	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-11	15	13.4	17.4	-4.03	17.5	16.8	0.74
Devin Brown	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	7	-21	17.1	13.7	3.40	16.6	17.7	-1.10
Peja Stojakovic	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	3	-13	15.7	14.7	1.01	17.0	17.3	-0.30
David West	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.5	14.3	1.21	16.9	18.1	-1.30
Darius Songaila	49	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	2	-11	16.0	14.3	1.64	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Chris Paul	70	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	9	-25	15.7	13.5	2.16	16.9	18.0	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
SEA 97, VAN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%