NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	3.7 [1051]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +19.0%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1133]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): -10.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	14	69%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Al Horford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	14	81%	0.17	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	67%	0.18	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.09	14	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	16	58%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.01	0.12	10	86%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	20	41%	-0.06	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	31.4	16.5	24.4	1.8	28.3	126.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.7%

ATL +14.8%

IND -7.7%

ATL +3.6%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	15.3	112.2	99.0	106.0
season	16.0	14.2		109.4	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		105.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	14.8	14.4	17.9	15.0
IND	16.0	15.8	13.8	11.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	69	70	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.24	31	-19	50	14.0	17.4	-3.43	14.8	12.8	2.05
Josh Smith	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.08	22	-10	32	13.8	18.0	-4.20	14.5	13.4	1.10
Mike Bibby	57	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-12	36	13.9	16.5	-2.64	14.4	14.1	0.29
Marvin Williams	39	40	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-11	34	13.0	16.3	-3.36	15.3	13.5	1.73
Al Horford	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-6	24	15.2	13.6	1.61	14.7	11.3	3.38
Jamal Crawford	59	60	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.32	-10	22	-32	16.3	13.0	3.36	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Randolph Morris	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.6	15.0	0.62	8.3	14.6	-6.29
Othello Hunter	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.6	15.0	0.62	8.3	14.6	-6.29
Maurice Evans	42	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.32	-11	23	-34	16.5	13.9	2.54	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Zaza Pachulia	26	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.25	-10	22	-32	17.3	14.2	3.09	14.6	14.1	0.56
Jeff Teague	28	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.43	-21	33	-54	17.6	14.0	3.60	12.3	15.0	-2.68

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	28	26	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-19	26	14.9	14.0	0.96	15.5	14.8	0.73
T.J. Ford	43	41	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-21	30	14.6	13.9	0.68	15.2	14.9	0.34
Tyler Hansbrough	64	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-23	34	14.1	14.5	-0.46	15.7	13.8	1.91
A.J. Price	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	9.4	14.7	-5.28	14.4	15.1	-0.61
Josh McRoberts	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	9.4	14.7	-5.28	14.4	15.1	-0.61
Luther Head	49	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-23	34	13.1	15.4	-2.26	17.0	13.0	3.92
Brandon Rush	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	15.1	13.7	1.44	15.6	14.6	1.02
Mike Dunleavy	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	13.5	15.0	-1.48	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Earl Watson	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	11	-34	14.5	14.0	0.54	14.8	15.2	-0.45
Roy Hibbert	38	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	10	-32	14.4	14.1	0.29	15.0	15.0	0.08
Dahntay Jones	56	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.16	-26	14	-40	15.5	12.6	2.94	13.2	17.2	-4.00
Troy Murphy	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	13	-38	14.7	13.5	1.16	14.1	16.4	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
HOU 118, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
WAS 122, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%