NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	8.4 [183]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): +12.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	114		Comeback	2.0 [959]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -30.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	3	91%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	9	56%	0.06	4	-0.15	9	67%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.11	0.01	12	46%	-0.11	4	-0.15	11	55%	-0.04
Jason Richardson	-0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	7	-0.30	4	75%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.17	-0.14	-0.00	16	39%	-0.16	4	-0.15	9	89%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	21	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	36	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	20	80%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	31.7	14.8	25.0	2.4	43.3	145.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -0.4%

GSW -3.9%

PHI +8.8%

PHI +51.8%

GSW -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	14.0	15.6	101.9	107.5	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		100.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		98.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.6	13.4	17.8	11.2	13.3
PHI	14.6	14.8	12.2	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	40	40	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-19	31	13.2	13.4	-0.19	13.3	14.3	-1.01
Troy Murphy	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	13.4	13.3	0.05	14.5	13.8	0.75
Erick Dampier	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	14.0	12.7	1.31	14.1	13.8	0.32
Bob Sura	59	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-10	13	12.9	13.9	-0.98	14.6	13.1	1.50
Adonal Foyle	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	13.3	13.4	-0.15	14.1	13.8	0.35
Danny Fortson	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	14.4	12.1	2.29	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Antawn Jamison	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	2	-11	13.1	14.7	-1.66	14.1	13.1	1.03
Larry Hughes	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.18	-12	5	-17	12.5	14.9	-2.43	13.9	14.1	-0.24
Jason Richardson	94	95	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	4	-15	13.6	11.4	2.21	13.5	17.5	-4.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	92	93	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	14.4	10.9	3.57	13.5	11.7	1.80
Eric Snow	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	14.0	13.8	0.25	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Allen Iverson	99	98	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	14.1	12.6	1.48	13.4	13.0	0.37
Matt Harpring	88	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	14.4	11.7	2.75	12.8	16.1	-3.31
Speedy Claxton	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	14.0	13.9	0.13	12.2	14.4	-2.22
Corie Blount	66	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-4	15	13.1	15.3	-2.16	15.0	10.9	4.06
Samuel Dalembert	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	8	-9	17.6	13.8	3.83	10.8	13.5	-2.67
Vonteego Cummings	43	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	11	-15	13.0	14.6	-1.68	13.2	13.4	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.8%
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%
WAS 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.5%