inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 98 Excitement6.6 [488] MVPRodney Rogers (PHX): +9.8%
Phoenix Suns 104 Comeback1.1 [1092] LVPStephon Marbury (PHX): -20.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.001357%0.0800.00475%0.00
Antawn Jamison0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.050.060.020.031765%0.103-0.06683%0.00
Jason Richardson0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.020.020.020.022055%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Larry Hughes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.011252%0.041-0.075100%0.03
Chris Mills-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.03822%-0.081-0.012100%0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.0260%-0.082-0.0400%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.190,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19-0.14-0.05-0.001035%-0.064-0.13367%-0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.004100%0.1000.002100%0.02
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.05-0.011850%0.092-0.052100%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00971%0.093-0.06683%0.01
Dan Majerle00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.00-0.000.000.001054%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01839%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.00-0.01671%0.058-0.152100%0.01
Alton Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.060.00544%-0.091-0.04875%-0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2-0.20-0.18-0.04-0.021840%-0.133-0.071471%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.828.015.025.21.839.1135.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +11.7%
PHX +26.2%
PHX +12.7%
GSW -2.1%
PHX +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWPHXNBAGSWPHXNBA
this game15.514.215.6101.0107.2102.3
season14.715.1100.7101.0
opponent15.815.1102.1106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW17.515.514.814.415.5
PHX12.514.512.417.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mills2929-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-6616.915.01.9415.113.71.40
Larry Hughes7170-0.13-0.370.24-0.337-132014.618.1-3.5215.012.02.99
Adonal Foyle3435-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-1-416.115.30.8012.814.9-2.12
Erick Dampier2626-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-71-817.714.72.9514.514.00.52
Troy Murphy5049-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.312-81015.315.8-0.5315.313.02.37
Bob Sura4243-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-82-1017.613.93.6714.314.00.27
Danny Fortson6565-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-1-414.817.0-2.2313.515.5-2.01
Antawn Jamison8787-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.31-3-3014.920.8-5.8714.114.7-0.61
Jason Richardson8181-0.550.05-0.61-0.23-115-1615.316.8-1.5313.418.2-4.83

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw75770.53-0.030.570.279-31213.715.9-2.2114.818.5-3.80
Tony Delk45470.440.060.380.247-1814.813.61.1617.014.12.92
Stephon Marbury86860.420.080.330.3333014.114.8-0.7514.821.3-6.47
Alton Ford39400.410.090.320.217-1814.713.80.9817.414.23.17
Shawn Marion82820.320.180.130.3206-614.213.90.2615.018.4-3.39
Anfernee Hardaway65630.190.31-0.110.0842213.515.5-2.0515.116.3-1.17
Dan Majerle13130.130.37-0.240.0142215.713.91.7820.214.85.42
Jake Tsakalidis58570.090.41-0.320.12-17-813.814.7-0.9814.217.4-3.17
Rodney Rogers2220-0.030.53-0.570.05-39-1215.913.72.2118.514.83.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 87, MEM 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,194.0%
SAS 98, MIN 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.99,193.8%
CLE 106, CHI 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.94,0.97,0.99,193.7%