NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	5.8 [637]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +26.1%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	1.1 [528]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -7.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	17	50%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	26	60%	0.20	5	-0.14	13	54%	-0.06
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	16	57%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.05	0.00	12	84%	0.28	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.08	-0.03	26	53%	0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.02	16	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	30.0	18.8	33.0	3.6	45.0	160.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.7%

CLE -5.3%

CLE -3.6%

CHI +18.7%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.3	110.4	114.9	106.0
season	16.1	14.7		109.5	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	15.9	16.5	13.7	15.4
CHI	14.0	14.8	16.3	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-2	2	9.0	15.6	-6.59	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Jamario Moon	28	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-4	6	14.9	15.7	-0.73	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	19.3	15.0	4.29	17.1	14.6	2.49
Anderson Varejao	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-3	4	16.0	15.1	0.93	15.4	14.5	0.98
Shaquille O'Neal	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	16.1	14.9	1.18	13.9	15.6	-1.66
Delonte West	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-1	0	15.6	15.2	0.35	15.5	13.9	1.58
Mo Williams	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	15.0	17.7	-2.63	14.7	16.0	-1.32
LeBron James	89	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	14.9	22.1	-7.22	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Anthony Parker	58	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	2	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.48	14.5	15.3	-0.76
Antawn Jamison	75	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	3	-8	16.1	13.1	3.01	15.0	14.3	0.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	65	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-12	26	14.5	15.7	-1.15	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Derrick Rose	84	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-4	10	14.6	17.0	-2.39	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Luol Deng	85	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	2	-2	14.8	15.0	-0.15	15.0	18.8	-3.81
Kirk Hinrich	78	80	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.52	-7	9	-16	14.8	15.1	-0.32	14.9	18.3	-3.44
Ronald Murray	48	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	6	-10	15.1	14.6	0.50	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Brad Miller	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	1	0	14.8	14.9	-0.13	16.5	14.8	1.69
Taj Gibson	66	65	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	6	-10	15.1	14.4	0.72	15.5	15.3	0.28
James Johnson	8	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	16.6	14.7	1.93	18.8	15.0	3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.94,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.92,1,1,1	94.5%
SAS 86, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,1	94.2%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.0%