inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 101 Excitement8.2 [217] MVPScott Padgett (UTA): +21.4%
Golden State Warriors 99 Comeback2.4 [555] LVPAdonal Foyle (GSW): -14.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.100.005100%0.2100.00333%-0.02
John Crotty0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00867%0.071-0.022100%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01550%0.0100.002100%0.01
John Starks0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Karl Malone-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01-0.020.030.022357%0.073-0.091984%-0.01
Donyell Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Amaechi-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00933%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0000%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.07-0.00945%-0.071-0.03250%-0.03
Bryon Russell-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00742%-0.051-0.061080%0.05
John Stockton-0.130,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.03837%-0.004-0.1200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.070.00967%0.204-0.1400%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0-0.00-0.01-0.01-0.011857%0.103-0.11887%0.06
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.030.00483%0.062-0.074100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00250%-0.021-0.024100%0.04
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.00856%0.022-0.082100%0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.001653%0.023-0.104100%0.03
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.010.041455%0.024-0.11367%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.070.00517%-0.1400.0020%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.431.015.524.52.336.8134.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -3.3%
UTA +19.4%
UTA +14.9%
UTA +17.3%
UTA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAGSWNBAUTAGSWNBA
this game16.414.215.6106.3106.5102.3
season16.114.7102.9100.7
opponent15.115.1106.2101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.815.216.117.616.4
GSW15.113.614.513.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton59590.67-0.170.840.448-61415.318.3-2.9913.914.7-0.81
Jarron Collins59580.54-0.040.590.4820215.917.3-1.4213.814.8-0.97
Scott Padgett45420.480.020.460.364-2616.616.20.3814.014.3-0.31
Karl Malone86850.470.030.450.4411016.020.7-4.6914.015.9-1.84
Bryon Russell52510.380.120.270.44-24-617.714.92.8114.014.4-0.39
Andrei Kirilenko38380.200.30-0.110.026-41015.317.1-1.8014.613.90.70
DeShawn Stevenson42410.130.37-0.240.043-1416.716.20.4814.713.80.83
John Amaechi14140.070.43-0.36-0.023-1418.616.02.6114.714.10.61
Donyell Marshall1515-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-24-619.115.93.1415.513.91.52
John Starks77-0.100.60-0.690.02-46-109.717.0-7.2410.714.5-3.76
Greg Ostertag2221-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-35-816.516.40.0414.914.00.86
John Crotty3634-0.170.67-0.840.00-68-1418.315.32.9914.713.90.81

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy45460.26-0.761.02-0.0310-122214.014.4-0.4616.316.5-0.23
Danny Fortson4949-0.03-0.470.440.03-20-213.814.6-0.8015.217.8-2.60
Gilbert Arenas1818-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-64-1016.813.63.2715.216.7-1.55
Larry Hughes7577-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.384-61013.616.8-3.2716.715.21.55
Erick Dampier4750-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-2215.213.21.9718.014.73.25
Bob Sura5052-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-61014.214.20.0117.814.73.11
Adonal Foyle3333-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.13-86-1414.314.10.1216.516.40.05
Jason Richardson7172-0.510.01-0.52-0.39-42-613.815.3-1.4716.217.0-0.76
Antawn Jamison7778-0.780.28-1.06-0.55-86-1414.313.90.3815.520.6-5.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.15,0.07,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 96, GSW 850.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,092.7%
MIA 76, HOU 730.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,092.6%
MIL 86, DET 760.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.05,0,092.3%