NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	6.1 [572]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +13.5%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	1.5 [484]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -19.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.02	14	63%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	15	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	70%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	61%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	48%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	3	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	13	15%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	7	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	18	48%	-0.14	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	25.3	16.3	25.6	2.4	30.2	125.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.6%

MIL +2.5%

DET -6.6%

MIL +3.0%

DET -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	18.6	15.6	107.5	96.2	104.4
season	16.0	17.1		103.9	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.5		102.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	17.1	16.4	23.0	17.6
DET	20.2	16.3	18.8	19.4	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	56	55	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.21	16	-6	22	17.0	19.0	-2.00	19.6	16.3	3.30
Vin Baker	63	64	0.65	-0.14	0.79	0.27	13	-3	16	17.4	18.2	-0.81	19.3	15.9	3.33
Ray Allen	69	69	0.60	-0.09	0.69	0.22	13	-3	16	17.6	17.7	-0.15	19.1	15.7	3.36
Andrew Lang	46	44	0.50	0.01	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	17.7	17.4	0.28	20.0	17.0	2.98
Glenn Robinson	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	0	10	18.1	16.3	1.72	19.9	14.6	5.27
Johnny Newman	36	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	13	-16	17.7	17.5	0.17	16.4	20.3	-3.90
Chucky Brown	23	21	-0.06	0.57	-0.63	-0.00	-2	12	-14	18.4	17.3	1.11	16.1	19.6	-3.46
Armen Gilliam	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	12	-14	15.9	18.3	-2.46	15.5	20.0	-4.50
Elliot Perry	24	24	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.01	-6	16	-22	19.0	17.0	2.00	16.3	19.6	-3.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	28	28	0.03	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-16	22	19.8	18.0	1.84	21.7	15.4	6.27
Jerome Williams	2	2	-0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.00	0	-10	10	9.0	18.9	-9.88	16.5	17.6	-1.13
Litterial Green	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	13.4	19.9	-6.46	15.9	18.0	-2.16
Theo Ratliff	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-8	6	13.6	19.4	-5.76	15.3	18.0	-2.70
Michael Curry	41	43	-0.06	-0.45	0.38	-0.15	3	-13	16	16.6	20.8	-4.26	17.8	17.3	0.51
Don Reid	29	28	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	0.04	-8	-2	-6	21.7	16.9	4.83	14.7	19.2	-4.49
Terry Mills	33	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-5	0	15.7	20.7	-4.99	18.8	16.7	2.13
Grant Hill	67	68	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	19.4	14.2	5.17	17.7	16.9	0.80
Otis Thorpe	62	61	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	19.8	14.5	5.23	17.6	17.7	-0.11
Joe Dumars	59	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	2	-14	20.1	14.4	5.60	18.1	16.3	1.83
Lindsey Hunter	49	50	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	6	-22	18.6	18.6	-0.00	16.3	19.8	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.04,0,0	93.7%
SAS 95, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
MIA 84, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.13,0.02,0,0	92.6%