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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 86 Excitement6.1 [572] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +13.5%
Detroit Pistons 76 Comeback1.5 [484] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -19.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.070.021463%0.161-0.022100%0.01
Vin Baker0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.040.011562%0.121-0.041070%-0.00
Sherman Douglas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.011061%0.101-0.04333%-0.02
Chucky Brown-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Armen Gilliam-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Elliot Perry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Lang-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00350%-0.002-0.052100%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.011556%0.074-0.132100%0.01
Johnny Newman-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.02-0.0060%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.020.00487%0.132-0.0900%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.001100%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,00.000.04-0.040.001260%0.031-0.031100%0.01
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Litterial Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.040.0010%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.001048%-0.032-0.05771%-0.01
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.00344%-0.042-0.07367%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.03-0.041315%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.06-0.04714%-0.112-0.0300%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.100.011848%-0.142-0.061471%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.825.316.325.62.430.2125.2
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +53.6%
MIL +2.5%
DET -6.6%
MIL +3.0%
DET -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game17.618.615.6107.596.2104.4
season16.017.1103.9107.6
opponent16.215.5102.0106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.817.116.423.017.6
DET20.216.318.819.418.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sherman Douglas56550.68-0.170.850.2116-62217.019.0-2.0019.616.33.30
Vin Baker63640.65-0.140.790.2713-31617.418.2-0.8119.315.93.33
Ray Allen69690.60-0.090.690.2213-31617.617.7-0.1519.115.73.36
Andrew Lang46440.500.010.500.1811-11217.717.40.2820.017.02.98
Glenn Robinson59600.430.070.360.141001018.116.31.7219.914.65.27
Johnny Newman3634-0.030.53-0.560.06-313-1617.717.50.1716.420.3-3.90
Chucky Brown2321-0.060.57-0.63-0.00-212-1418.417.31.1116.119.6-3.46
Armen Gilliam2424-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-212-1415.918.3-2.4615.520.0-4.50
Elliot Perry2424-0.170.68-0.850.01-616-2219.017.02.0016.319.6-3.30

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Long28280.03-0.540.57-0.146-162219.818.01.8421.715.46.27
Jerome Williams22-0.00-0.510.51-0.000-10109.018.9-9.8816.517.6-1.13
Litterial Green1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-111213.419.9-6.4615.918.0-2.16
Theo Ratliff1011-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-8613.619.4-5.7615.318.0-2.70
Michael Curry4143-0.06-0.450.38-0.153-131616.620.8-4.2617.817.30.51
Don Reid2928-0.19-0.320.130.04-8-2-621.716.94.8314.719.2-4.49
Terry Mills3335-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.17-5-5015.720.7-4.9918.816.72.13
Grant Hill6768-0.44-0.07-0.37-0.20-8-2-619.414.25.1717.716.90.80
Otis Thorpe6261-0.49-0.02-0.47-0.22-9-1-819.814.55.2317.617.7-0.11
Joe Dumars5958-0.510.01-0.52-0.16-122-1420.114.45.6018.116.31.83
Lindsey Hunter4950-0.520.01-0.53-0.05-166-2218.618.6-0.0016.319.8-3.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.05,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 103, MIL 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.04,0,093.7%
SAS 95, SAC 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.04,0,0,092.8%
MIA 84, BOS 770.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.13,0.02,0,092.6%