NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	6.3 [533]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +22.1%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	1.9 [808]		LVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): -15.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.15	-0.04	13	55%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	14	56%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	6	93%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	20%	-0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	24	44%	0.10	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.4	16.3	22.6	2.4	29.6	125.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.0%

SAS +5.4%

SAS +0.5%

SAS +2.8%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.9	16.1	15.3	108.0	98.9	106.0
season	15.9	15.2		108.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.2	19.6	15.3	16.7	16.9
SAC	14.4	15.7	17.5	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	51	51	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.17	22	-13	35	17.9	15.4	2.45	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Manu Ginobili	63	61	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.19	19	-10	29	16.2	18.5	-2.27	17.0	13.8	3.15
Antonio McDyess	53	54	0.61	-0.12	0.73	0.09	18	-9	27	17.9	15.2	2.70	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Garrett Temple	51	50	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	0	9	16.5	17.3	-0.81	16.7	15.2	1.51
Richard Jefferson	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	17.4	15.7	1.70	15.5	17.4	-1.89
Malik Hairston	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	10.7	17.1	-6.39	11.7	16.3	-4.52
Ian Mahinmi	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	9.0	17.0	-8.03	9.0	16.1	-7.14
Keith Bogans	27	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	18.3	16.2	2.03	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Tony Parker	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	18.0	16.3	1.76	15.4	16.4	-1.09
Matt Bonner	30	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	15	-21	16.3	17.1	-0.79	17.6	15.3	2.29
Roger Mason Jr.	31	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	20	-31	15.4	17.7	-2.31	15.1	16.5	-1.40
DeJuan Blair	37	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	22	-35	15.4	17.9	-2.45	16.3	15.9	0.42

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	35	35	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.01	14	-23	37	15.7	16.3	-0.53	17.1	16.7	0.34
Omri Casspi	26	27	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-15	21	15.9	16.1	-0.25	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Jon Brockman	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-7	5	0.0	16.1	-16.06	22.0	16.8	5.21
Sean May	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-5	1	15.6	16.2	-0.59	17.3	16.7	0.60
Andres Nocioni	34	34	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	2	-13	16.8	15.6	1.16	16.5	17.1	-0.62
Jason Thompson	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	16.3	15.5	0.85	16.9	16.8	0.06
Donte Greene	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	16.1	16.0	0.12	17.7	16.0	1.75
Carl Landry	71	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-3	-3	15.7	17.4	-1.69	17.3	14.9	2.37
Tyreke Evans	77	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.22	-16	7	-23	16.4	13.4	3.00	17.1	15.0	2.12
Beno Udrih	63	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.25	-16	7	-23	15.7	16.9	-1.19	16.2	18.8	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%
MIL 86, DET 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.05,0,0	92.8%
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	92.7%