NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	7.1 [394]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +21.4%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.8 [357]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -15.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.00	0.19	-0.02	19	55%	0.29	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
George Lynch	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	21	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	21	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Lampley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.07
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	12	21%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.4	16.4	19.9	2.0	30.0	120.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +52.7%

GSW -8.4%

NOH +5.1%

NOH +0.5%

NOH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.7	110.3	95.5	100.5
season	16.0	16.1		99.3	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.5	17.4	16.2	17.1	16.8
GSW	14.9	13.9	19.8	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	60	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.04	24	-13	37	16.1	18.4	-2.24	17.8	11.9	5.95
Baron Davis	76	76	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.06	22	-11	33	16.6	18.5	-1.86	16.6	12.2	4.40
David Wesley	71	74	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-2	15	15.5	22.5	-6.95	16.2	14.6	1.58
Jamaal Magloire	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-1	13	16.6	17.7	-1.06	17.0	11.8	5.24
George Lynch	48	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-6	23	16.8	16.9	-0.13	17.5	14.2	3.34
Darrell Armstrong	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	11	-11	17.4	16.0	1.44	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Stacey Augmon	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	14	-17	23.0	16.5	6.55	10.5	16.3	-5.80
Robert Traylor	12	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	19	-27	20.2	16.3	3.87	11.4	16.8	-5.40
Steven Smith	18	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	20	-29	17.7	16.6	1.13	11.9	17.1	-5.17
David West	26	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	24	-37	18.8	16.0	2.77	12.2	17.6	-5.39

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Lampley	30	29	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-17	23	13.9	16.9	-3.08	18.1	16.2	1.86
Cherokee Parks	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-11	11	3.0	16.1	-13.06	8.0	16.9	-8.93
Mickael Pietrus	43	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-15	19	14.6	17.2	-2.62	18.6	15.1	3.42
Brian Cardinal	61	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-15	19	14.9	18.1	-3.15	17.9	14.4	3.56
Avery Johnson	3	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	21.7	15.7	5.96	20.2	16.7	3.59
Nick Van Exel	86	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	15.7	21.7	-5.96	16.7	20.2	-3.59
Erick Dampier	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	4	-19	18.6	14.7	3.90	14.6	17.8	-3.16
Jason Richardson	52	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	2	-15	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.4	18.6	-3.16
Clifford Robinson	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	1	-13	16.4	13.7	2.62	17.1	15.3	1.84
Mike Dunleavy	68	67	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.16	-18	7	-25	16.6	13.5	3.12	15.9	20.0	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, CHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.24,0.1,0.1,0,0	92.8%
SAS 83, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.2,0.11,0,0,0	92.7%
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.15,0.07,0.17,0	92.7%