inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 85 Excitement6.8 [480] MVPTaj Gibson (CHI): +10.1%
Chicago Bulls 75 Comeback1.9 [412] LVPLuol Deng (CHI): -24.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.080.030.090.042159%0.225-0.14743%-0.06
Udonis Haslem0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.001057%0.111-0.053100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.04-0.001657%0.081-0.051080%0.04
Mike Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.04-0.05856%0.072-0.062100%0.01
James Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00636%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0010%-0.013-0.0600%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.00753%0.1000.0010%-0.05
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00458%0.0300.00475%-0.01
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02233%0.0100.002100%0.01
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0000%0.011-0.0210%-0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00945%-0.001-0.04250%-0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.02542%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.02721%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.021032%-0.062-0.04250%-0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.08-0.032337%-0.122-0.041070%-0.03
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.10-0.16-0.021541%-0.044-0.202100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.72.634.018.831.22.536.2156.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +52.9%
MIA +8.3%
CHI -1.8%
CHI -9.6%
MIA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game17.316.515.598.889.3105.7
season16.015.7109.0106.5
opponent15.915.699.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.115.318.120.517.3
CHI15.216.716.917.416.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh76730.81-0.311.120.1722-123417.218.6-1.4217.112.54.58
Dwyane Wade72690.76-0.261.010.2019-92816.819.9-3.0817.213.33.97
Mike Bibby62610.70-0.200.900.2316-62217.118.0-0.9616.716.10.60
Joel Anthony35360.66-0.160.810.1916-62218.416.61.7219.014.64.38
LeBron James81790.460.040.420.2382617.711.85.8916.615.41.19
Juwan Howard54-0.050.55-0.610.03-313-169.817.8-8.0110.516.8-6.33
Mario Chalmers1111-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-212-1415.217.7-2.4814.516.8-2.38
Jamaal Magloire89-0.080.58-0.67-0.02-212-1419.017.21.8213.216.9-3.70
James Jones34-0.110.61-0.73-0.06-212-1414.717.4-2.7813.716.7-2.91
Udonis Haslem4542-0.220.72-0.930.11-1121-3217.617.10.4314.918.2-3.29
Mike Miller3232-0.350.85-1.21-0.03-1121-3218.916.42.4315.217.3-2.11

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Brewer30290.20-0.700.910.065-152014.217.8-3.5617.717.20.57
Omer Asik28300.16-0.660.810.073-131615.317.1-1.8018.516.71.77
CJ Watson13130.11-0.610.730.052-121414.117.0-2.8914.817.8-2.95
Carlos Boozer4848-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-7417.415.32.1316.518.4-1.97
Taj Gibson3638-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-3-415.317.4-2.1318.416.51.97
Keith Bogans2929-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.04-9-1-817.915.82.0416.817.6-0.79
Kyle Korver2932-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.20-8-2-617.116.20.8316.917.6-0.66
Luol Deng8082-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.23-8-2-616.713.03.7017.613.04.56
Derrick Rose7173-0.610.11-0.73-0.26-122-1417.014.12.8917.814.82.95
Joakim Noah5656-0.660.16-0.81-0.28-133-1617.115.31.8016.718.5-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.24,0.1,0.1,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 96, GSW 850.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,092.8%
UTA 101, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.15,0.07,0.17,091.9%
BOS 106, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,091.7%