NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	3.3 [1093]		MVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): +5.2%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	1.4 [827]		LVP	Danny Fortson (GSW): -9.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	77%	0.02	1	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Trepagnier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bryant Stith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	15	51%	-0.00	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	61%	0.05	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	8	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.12	8	88%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	51%	0.02	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.02
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	16	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	-0.11	9	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	8	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.5	28.2	15.4	35.6	3.5	30.2	141.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +5.5%

GSW +13.0%

GSW +9.6%

GSW +17.1%

GSW +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	94.6	124.5	102.3
season	15.8	14.7		102.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	18.0	13.9	15.7	15.4
GSW	12.7	16.2	16.8	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Trepagnier	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-23	17	13.7	15.7	-2.03	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Bryant Stith	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.21	-8	-21	13	15.2	15.6	-0.35	16.9	14.5	2.43
Andre Miller	50	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-31	33	14.9	16.0	-1.13	16.2	14.4	1.83
Ricky Davis	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-21	13	15.0	15.6	-0.64	13.5	16.2	-2.67
Chris Mihm	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.31	-17	-12	-5	15.8	14.7	1.04	16.3	13.0	3.31
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-16	3	16.8	13.9	2.85	16.4	14.1	2.25
Bimbo Coles	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.45	-24	-5	-19	15.0	15.8	-0.74	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Jumaine Jones	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	-14	-1	17.4	13.4	4.00	17.4	13.3	4.11
Lamond Murray	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-18	7	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.4	16.2	-1.75
Brian Skinner	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	-8	-13	13.6	17.3	-3.69	13.2	17.5	-4.30
Wesley Person	45	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	-5	-19	15.6	15.3	0.35	13.4	17.2	-3.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.15	24	5	19	14.2	17.6	-3.41	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Larry Hughes	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	3	23	14.8	16.8	-2.03	15.0	16.6	-1.68
Jason Richardson	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	8	13	14.8	17.1	-2.28	15.9	13.9	2.03
Adonal Foyle	52	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.22	19	10	9	15.4	15.4	0.01	15.9	14.9	0.93
Danny Fortson	51	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	16	-3	14.7	16.1	-1.43	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Chris Mills	38	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.35	19	10	9	14.7	15.8	-1.09	16.8	14.4	2.38
Erick Dampier	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	20	-11	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.7	15.2	0.48
Bob Sura	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.20	10	19	-9	17.1	14.0	3.12	16.6	14.5	2.09
Troy Murphy	32	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	27	-25	18.8	13.6	5.23	16.1	15.1	1.02
Dean Oliver	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	16.1	15.3	0.83	9.8	16.0	-6.27
Gilbert Arenas	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	16.1	15.3	0.83	9.8	16.0	-6.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, BKN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ORL 87, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 77, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%