NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	2.8 [1203]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +15.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.0 [474]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (POR): -7.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	11	68%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	13	58%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	58%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.01	0.06	14	77%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	17	41%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	0.00	0.13	12	75%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	6	7%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.0	30.8	19.8	26.0	2.8	29.3	139.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +21.2%

POR +8.5%

POR +14.3%

POR +5.7%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	POR	NBA	ORL	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	17.4	15.3	96.7	113.3	106.0
season	15.4	16.7		110.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		106.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	14.1	16.6	13.5	14.6
POR	17.8	15.9	18.4	17.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	39	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-19	23	12.8	15.9	-3.11	16.2	18.3	-2.14
Marcin Gortat	34	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-15	15	12.9	15.6	-2.64	16.2	18.1	-1.96
Ryan Anderson	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	14.0	14.8	-0.81	17.3	17.5	-0.14
JJ Redick	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-15	15	13.1	16.6	-3.51	16.5	18.7	-2.24
Mickael Pietrus	30	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-14	13	13.5	15.1	-1.63	16.3	18.0	-1.68
Matt Barnes	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-1	-13	15.1	13.5	1.63	18.0	16.3	1.68
Vince Carter	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	0	-15	16.6	13.1	3.51	18.7	16.5	2.24
Rashard Lewis	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	14.8	14.0	0.81	17.5	17.3	0.14
Dwight Howard	56	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	0	-15	15.6	12.9	2.64	18.1	16.2	1.96
Jameer Nelson	51	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	4	-23	15.9	12.8	3.11	18.3	16.2	2.14

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	66	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	-11	37	18.2	15.5	2.65	16.0	11.0	5.05
Martell Webster	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-7	29	17.5	17.4	0.03	14.8	13.6	1.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-6	27	17.6	16.8	0.76	15.0	13.0	1.94
Steve Blake	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	16.5	19.3	-2.78	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Juwan Howard	57	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	11	-7	18.0	16.4	1.61	14.6	14.5	0.06
Jeff Ayres	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	7	1	17.0	17.7	-0.69	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Jerryd Bayless	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	13	-11	18.7	16.6	2.14	15.1	14.2	0.89
Dante Cunningham	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	18	-21	16.2	18.0	-1.76	13.4	15.0	-1.66
Rudy Fernandez	36	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.29	-13	28	-41	16.4	18.1	-1.76	12.4	16.1	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 101, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 77, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%