NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	2.9 [1194]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): +13.9%
San Antonio Spurs	123		Comeback	1.2 [1259]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -7.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	12	61%	0.06	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	15	63%	0.06	2	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	8	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Robbie Hummel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	13	23%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	12	77%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	10	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.03	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	28.9	15.7	26.4	2.4	25.5	126.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.5%

SAS +8.4%

SAS +8.7%

MIN -7.7%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	15.1	103.1	125.5	104.2
season	15.0	15.4		101.2	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	15.3	14.3	12.7	14.5
SAS	15.5	16.0	11.9	16.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-25	28	12.5	15.4	-2.93	16.0	14.4	1.57
Glenn Robinson	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-20	18	12.7	15.1	-2.39	16.8	14.3	2.47
Jeff Adrien	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-21	20	14.4	14.5	-0.05	15.2	14.9	0.35
Shabazz Muhammad	41	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-14	6	15.0	14.1	0.89	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Chase Budinger	15	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-16	10	14.5	14.4	0.09	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Anthony Bennett	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-19	16	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.9	13.6	2.25
Corey Brewer	49	49	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-4	-14	15.5	13.4	2.14	13.3	16.6	-3.29
Thaddeus Young	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-9	-4	14.9	14.0	0.93	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Zach LaVine	87	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	-2	-18	14.4	14.7	-0.30	15.1	14.0	1.06
Gorgui Dieng	51	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	3	-28	15.6	13.2	2.40	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Andrew Wiggins	69	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	-5	-12	14.3	14.7	-0.38	15.7	13.3	2.40

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.31	27	-5	32	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.5	13.1	2.43
Boris Diaw	50	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.30	23	-1	24	13.2	16.7	-3.57	14.7	14.1	0.60
Danny Green	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	6	10	14.1	16.2	-2.04	14.8	13.9	0.93
Cory Joseph	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	3	16	14.8	15.2	-0.39	14.8	13.7	1.05
Marco Belinelli	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	11	0	14.9	15.0	-0.08	14.7	14.1	0.58
Aron Baynes	41	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	8	6	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.8	14.2	0.64
Tim Duncan	39	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	13	-4	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.1	14.0	1.12
Matt Bonner	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	23	-24	16.7	13.2	3.57	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Jeff Ayres	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	17.3	14.4	2.88	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Austin Daye	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.3	14.4	2.88	11.0	15.2	-4.24
Kyle Anderson	38	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	26	-30	15.8	14.3	1.49	13.0	15.4	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ORL 87, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 77, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%