inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 106 Excitement5.7 [669] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.1%
Dallas Mavericks 116 Comeback8.6 [499] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -18.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.160,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.040.062370%0.202-0.0400%0.00
Danny Fortson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.011660%0.123-0.078100%0.04
Mookie Blaylock-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02939%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001246%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01957%0.022-0.05560%-0.01
Chris Mills-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bob Sura-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.02450%-0.043-0.07683%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.070.011143%-0.083-0.10683%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.07-0.012260%0.1700.001191%0.04
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.050.072862%0.161-0.04786%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.06-0.001060%0.133-0.0800%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.01267%0.0200.002100%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.03-0.02437%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.011052%0.0100.001100%0.01
Johnny Newman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.001046%-0.011-0.02667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.828.216.522.82.034.3129.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +39.3%
GSW -2.0%
GSW -7.5%
DAL +20.0%
DAL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game15.214.915.6110.4122.1102.3
season14.714.8100.7109.6
opponent15.515.1105.8106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.815.218.414.715.2
DAL16.114.811.617.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob Sura23210.36-0.861.21-0.1718-284612.216.2-3.9916.514.52.02
Danny Fortson78750.05-0.550.59-0.136-162214.020.6-6.5315.911.14.82
Larry Hughes6967-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-131613.918.8-4.9616.012.23.87
Erick Dampier5249-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-6214.715.8-1.0915.114.70.41
Antawn Jamison8684-0.17-0.330.15-0.201-111214.719.7-4.9715.69.65.96
Adonal Foyle1212-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-8-2-620.114.65.5210.315.6-5.23
Mookie Blaylock2728-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-133-1618.813.94.9612.216.0-3.87
Chris Mills1617-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-144-1821.214.17.1210.615.8-5.19
Troy Murphy4650-0.630.13-0.77-0.19-155-2016.014.61.3614.315.5-1.19
Jason Richardson7172-0.700.20-0.890.01-2414-3816.013.22.7214.615.8-1.21

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adrian Griffin72720.76-0.261.030.0624-143814.615.9-1.2715.913.22.78
Shawn Bradley43440.65-0.150.790.4182615.814.21.6615.914.71.17
Tim Hardaway32310.61-0.110.730.0918-82616.813.92.8817.814.03.82
Michael Finley90920.470.030.450.2191814.719.2-4.5315.118.0-2.87
Dirk Nowitzki84840.450.050.390.3637-415.69.95.6515.215.7-0.57
Donnell Harvey20210.020.48-0.46-0.1564213.215.3-2.1015.415.20.17
Johnny Newman110.000.50-0.500.00010-109.015.0-5.971.015.4-14.40
Danny Manning1819-0.070.57-0.64-0.07010-1013.215.3-2.1513.215.8-2.54
Steve Nash6869-0.090.59-0.680.12-717-2414.316.4-2.0514.217.8-3.57
Juwan Howard4041-0.120.62-0.73-0.09-111-1214.115.5-1.3915.015.4-0.39
Evan Eschmeyer76-0.190.69-0.880.10-1020-3019.314.64.7313.215.4-2.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 100, UTA 1180.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,192.8%
TOR 99, DAL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,192.5%
LAC 105, DAL 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,192.3%