inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 100 Excitement5.2 [746] MVPKarl Malone (UTA): +14.4%
Utah Jazz 118 Comeback7.9 [434] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -12.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.011563%0.0800.008100%0.04
Chauncey Billups0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.00-0.00-0.04965%0.073-0.035100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Minor0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.03743%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.01560%0.083-0.0900%0.00
John Thomas-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00175%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Travis Knight-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.02370%0.011-0.03475%0.00
Dee Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.001055%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Walter McCarty-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dana Barros-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.00650%-0.062-0.03875%-0.02
Antoine Walker-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.031837%-0.053-0.08475%-0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl Malone0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.030.011670%0.181-0.041275%-0.03
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.001064%0.081-0.03580%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.02774%0.072-0.02989%0.02
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jeff Hornacek0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01454%0.022-0.035100%0.04
Adam Keefe0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01757%0.063-0.0700%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00570%0.032-0.041080%0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01375%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Antoine Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.020.04560%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00367%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.050.010.03658%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game53.71.736.015.033.01.628.2169.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +28.9%
UTA +15.6%
UTA +5.2%
BOS -5.8%
UTA +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSUTANBABOSUTANBA
this game15.414.015.6102.0120.4102.5
season15.115.9100.2108.1
opponent15.915.1102.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.714.616.816.815.4
UTA14.014.212.715.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq33340.06-0.560.620.18-4-141014.615.8-1.2113.614.2-0.64
Chauncey Billups5859-0.03-0.470.430.26-10-8-216.214.31.9114.712.81.93
Greg Minor2322-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-161415.215.5-0.3111.614.7-3.08
Walter McCarty3229-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-161413.016.6-3.5816.412.93.51
Bruce Bowen2526-0.13-0.370.23-0.11-1-171614.215.8-1.6816.713.03.69
Travis Knight5556-0.14-0.360.22-0.326-243015.615.10.4816.011.34.71
John Thomas1719-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-10215.615.40.2912.514.3-1.87
Antoine Walker8282-0.36-0.14-0.230.19-191-2016.012.23.8513.416.9-3.46
Ron Mercer6160-0.47-0.03-0.430.00-16-2-1415.315.6-0.3912.915.6-2.66
Dana Barros4039-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.23-8-10214.316.2-1.9112.814.7-1.93
Dee Brown6464-0.530.03-0.550.24-268-3416.713.03.6913.215.5-2.33

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Howard Eisley61620.54-0.040.58-0.0219-12014.013.90.1814.816.5-1.73
John Stockton64630.440.060.37-0.1520-22214.612.91.7316.912.84.10
Antoine Carr36390.400.100.30-0.041531214.513.70.8715.915.10.81
Bryon Russell48500.380.120.27-0.121711615.013.01.9615.415.40.02
Karl Malone80780.370.130.23-0.041441013.615.5-1.8615.514.90.64
Adam Keefe55540.330.170.160.12711-413.514.6-1.1615.615.10.53
Greg Foster52500.260.240.03-0.09126613.514.5-0.9416.214.61.53
Jeff Hornacek39400.250.250.010.02810-213.614.2-0.5617.114.22.86
Jacque Vaughn560.000.50-0.500.06-220-2212.414.1-1.6610.815.7-4.87
Shandon Anderson2725-0.230.73-0.970.03-927-3613.214.3-1.1011.716.7-5.00
Chris Morris2323-0.240.74-0.980.08-1129-4014.413.80.5911.916.5-4.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 104, LAL 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.26,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.3%
TOR 90, IND 1080.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%
CLE 103, NYK 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,193.0%