NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	8.3 [167]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	2.7 [610]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -24.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.01,0.14,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.01	9	67%	0.26	2	-0.13	12	50%	-0.06
Rashard Lewis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	13	63%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	19	47%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	10	23%	-0.20	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	13	59%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	25	45%	0.00	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	22	48%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	11	27%	-0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	22.2	16.4	24.6	2.6	35.1	128.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +63.8%

SEA +10.9%

GSW -19.7%

GSW -2.9%

GSW -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.5	111.8	104.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		103.8	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	15.0	17.1	14.6	15.1
GSW	13.9	15.0	15.6	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	56	55	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-10	25	15.3	14.7	0.61	15.5	15.5	0.02
Rashard Lewis	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	0	5	14.9	15.5	-0.53	16.2	14.2	2.08
Gary Payton	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	1	3	14.9	15.6	-0.66	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Patrick Ewing	58	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	5	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Brent Barry	38	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-10	25	14.4	15.6	-1.14	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Olumide Oyedeji	6	7	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-1	7	6.8	15.7	-8.83	13.4	15.7	-2.28
Desmond Mason	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	5	-5	14.6	15.4	-0.81	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Vin Baker	39	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.14	2	3	-1	16.2	14.3	1.95	17.0	14.5	2.48
Shammond Williams	24	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	17.0	14.4	2.57	16.7	15.2	1.51
Emanual Davis	38	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	14	-23	15.2	15.0	0.19	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Jelani McCoy	25	26	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.09	-13	18	-31	16.6	14.5	2.06	15.1	15.7	-0.58

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-6	7	14.9	15.9	-0.99	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Adam Keefe	57	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-5	5	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.9	13.8	2.06
Chris Porter	80	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-7	9	15.8	14.3	1.43	15.9	10.7	5.20
Mookie Blaylock	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-7	9	15.2	17.5	-2.30	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Vonteego Cummings	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	14.2	16.0	-1.80	12.3	16.2	-3.82
Adonal Foyle	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	1	-7	15.9	14.9	0.99	15.2	14.9	0.24
Antawn Jamison	78	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.13	14.5	17.7	-3.26
Corie Blount	58	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.4	1.90	15.6	14.3	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.56,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	92.3%
MIN 127, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.42,0	91.5%
ATL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.04,0	91.2%