NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	127		Excitement	9.5 [74]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +50.9%
Phoenix Suns	124		Comeback	3.2 [225]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -12.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.37,0.51	0.15	0.35	-0.01	23	59%	0.51	0	0.00	5	60%	0.03
Derrick Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	10	79%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	7	107%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.14	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	9	50%	0.25	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Wayne Ellington	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	83%	0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Nikola Pekovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.02	17	63%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.11	0.02	15	78%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.00	6	77%	0.29	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	11	82%	0.34	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.17	0.17	0.18	-0.01	0.00	16	71%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.13
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	27.2	15.4	27.4	1.8	31.7	133.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +57.4%

PHX -14.8%

MIN +11.0%

PHX -3.1%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	133.7	127.8	102.8
season	15.3	15.0		102.6	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	13.9	15.0	15.4	15.2
PHX	13.0	16.1	14.4	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	74	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.55	0	3	-3	15.5	14.1	1.42	14.2	16.8	-2.56
Wayne Ellington	67	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-5	13	15.3	15.0	0.23	15.2	14.0	1.18
Luke Ridnour	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	6	-9	15.4	14.7	0.68	14.5	15.6	-1.10
Nikola Pekovic	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-1	5	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.5	13.0	2.52
Michael Beasley	33	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-5	13	14.3	15.7	-1.42	15.4	14.5	0.86
Jose Juan Barea	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	-5	13	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.6	14.5	1.10
Wesley Johnson	44	48	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.43	-11	14	-25	15.1	15.3	-0.16	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Derrick Williams	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-3	9	14.7	15.6	-0.87	15.6	14.2	1.35
Anthony Randolph	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	14.9	15.2	-0.34	12.3	15.1	-2.79
Martell Webster	40	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	9	-15	15.8	14.8	1.04	13.6	15.8	-2.14

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	32	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	1	-5	15.1	14.7	0.39	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Markieff Morris	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	5	-13	16.7	13.5	3.16	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Shannon Brown	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	7	-17	16.6	12.5	4.08	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Channing Frye	66	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-10	17	14.1	16.2	-2.09	15.7	14.2	1.53
Marcin Gortat	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.50	9	-12	21	14.2	15.2	-1.04	16.3	14.4	1.84
Grant Hill	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	14.1	16.2	-2.06	15.8	14.0	1.86
Robin Lopez	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	11	-25	14.7	14.9	-0.21	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Jared Dudley	75	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-4	5	14.1	17.2	-3.13	15.1	15.6	-0.57
Steve Nash	65	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-4	5	14.7	15.1	-0.39	15.5	14.7	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	91.8%
SEA 104, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.56,0.15,0	91.5%
PHI 93, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	91.4%