NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	8.7 [149]		MVP	P.J. Brown (CHH): +13.2%
Charlotte Hornets	88		Comeback	2.5 [483]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -41.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.00	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	40%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	9	43%	0.09	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	3	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	7	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.09	-0.11	0.03	34	45%	-0.15	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	7	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	19	66%	0.16	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	19	49%	-0.02	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.06
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	10	32%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.34,-0.41	-0.41	-0.22	-0.21	-0.01	18	31%	-0.27	4	-0.15	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	508.7	1.7	32.0	15.8	26.9	2.5	28.4	616.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.3%

PHI +16.4%

PHI +20.0%

CHH -9.3%

CHH -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.6	100.0	94.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	12.3	15.7	15.8	15.1
CHH	15.0	16.0	17.0	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	60	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-9	23	13.6	17.8	-4.17	15.7	16.1	-0.34
Dikembe Mutombo	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-1	7	16.0	12.7	3.25	17.3	11.8	5.50
Eric Snow	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	1	3	14.7	15.9	-1.19	16.2	15.3	0.85
Allen Iverson	90	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	15.3	10.0	5.27	15.6	21.0	-5.36
Corie Blount	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	5	-5	16.1	13.8	2.30	16.5	15.1	1.38
Derrick McKey	43	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	2	1	14.0	16.0	-1.95	15.1	16.5	-1.37
Speedy Claxton	36	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	15.6	14.8	0.75	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Samuel Dalembert	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	13.3	15.7	-2.32	12.5	16.9	-4.48
Matt Harpring	34	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	14	-23	17.1	14.0	3.09	16.7	15.4	1.31

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	32	33	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-9	13	13.6	17.1	-3.52	14.7	15.3	-0.67
Robert Traylor	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.88	16.5	14.7	1.79
Stacey Augmon	13	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	1	-7	17.4	15.6	1.76	16.4	14.8	1.55
Bryce Drew	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	16.0	15.8	0.12	15.4	15.0	0.43
Lee Nailon	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	15.5	18.7	-3.21	14.6	18.4	-3.82
David Wesley	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	15.5	18.7	-3.21	14.6	18.4	-3.82
P.J. Brown	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-3	1	16.1	15.2	0.88	14.7	16.5	-1.79
Baron Davis	81	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.3	13.2	3.01	15.4	12.7	2.69
Elden Campbell	60	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	3	-11	17.3	13.2	4.12	15.9	13.7	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 104, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.71,0.56,0.15,0	92.3%
MIN 127, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.47,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.42,0	91.4%
MIA 106, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.26,0	91.4%