inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 125 Excitement10.9 [42] MVPDonovan Mitchell (UTA): +93.0%
Denver Nuggets 135 Comeback11.3 [167] LVPRoyce O'Neale (UTA): -16.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0.930,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.66,0.76,1.09,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.930.310.650.043372%1.175-0.2413100%0.21
Rudy Gobert0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.011161%0.151-0.09617%-0.09
Georges Niang0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Joe Ingles0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.021463%0.153-0.122100%0.01
Jordan Clarkson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041753%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Morgan-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00530%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Tony Bradley-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0130%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Royce O'Neale-0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.100.01625%-0.151-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.67,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.620.620.240.430.052082%0.693-0.074100%0.04
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.090.15-0.00974%0.261-0.0210%-0.02
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.080.031163%0.1600.00887%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.150.150.100.070.022164%0.324-0.173100%0.09
Torrey Craig0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.01779%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001100%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.001036%0.0100.00250%-0.02
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.001350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.829.914.728.82.732.52.613.2152.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.3%
UTA -9.4%
UTA -10.1%
DEN +25.3%
UTA -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game15.614.114.2116.8126.2109.6
season14.915.0112.1112.0
opponent14.514.2110.7109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA15.116.215.916.213.715.6
DEN14.911.515.415.113.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Morgan49520.53-1.031.560.0317-274415.116.1-1.0014.813.41.43
Georges Niang39380.10-0.600.710.023-131617.414.62.7314.014.2-0.19
Emmanuel Mudiay19200.07-0.570.630.041-111218.015.12.8912.914.4-1.41
Tony Bradley2221-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-7417.915.02.8713.214.3-1.12
Royce O'Neale5453-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-111-1214.716.5-1.7915.013.21.80
Rudy Gobert8586-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-7-3-415.017.9-2.8714.313.21.12
Donovan Mitchell8887-0.570.07-0.63-0.24-111-1215.118.0-2.8914.412.91.41
Joe Ingles8989-0.600.10-0.71-0.19-144-1815.416.9-1.5813.815.8-2.02
Jordan Clarkson7978-0.740.24-0.99-0.31-155-2016.313.82.4913.515.7-2.14

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monte Morris60590.85-0.351.190.551001013.914.3-0.4415.615.7-0.07
Jamal Murray80810.60-0.100.690.1316-62214.712.42.2615.615.60.01
Nikola Jokic86850.450.050.400.2473414.313.21.1215.017.9-2.87
Torrey Craig42440.440.060.380.151001014.413.90.4315.116.0-0.83
Jerami Grant81790.280.220.060.2519-814.114.2-0.0815.416.3-0.89
Mason Plumlee21220.050.45-0.40-0.0437-413.214.3-1.1217.915.02.87
Paul Millsap58590.020.48-0.470.11-313-1614.913.11.7515.915.30.53
PJ Dozier44420.010.49-0.48-0.0528-612.815.0-2.2416.015.40.65
Michael Porter Jr.6364-0.190.69-0.88-0.3146-213.614.8-1.2315.815.40.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.16,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.9,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 105, IND 1090.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,188.5%
DAL 104, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,188.3%
DEN 107, GSW 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,188.1%