NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	12.0 [12]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +58.0%
Utah Jazz	122		Comeback	46.4 [17]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -32.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.46	0.36	0.13	0.03	27	72%	0.65	2	-0.20	13	77%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	14	66%	0.28	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.03
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.14,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	43%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	4	25%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	3	75%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Chase Budinger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.16,-0.22	0.00	-0.21	0.01	10	50%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.33	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.20	-0.02	11	25%	-0.12	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,0,-0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.43,0.58	0.58	0.13	0.43	-0.01	24	61%	0.63	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.05
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	17	54%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	76%	0.13	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.11	3	-0.19	8	75%	0.04
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.01	14	58%	0.09	4	-0.20	10	90%	0.03
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	11	32%	-0.10	1	-0.05	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	32.2	15.0	31.7	2.0	43.2	1.5	15.0	168.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.1%

UTA +19.5%

IND -2.1%

UTA +16.8%

IND -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.0	14.9	111.2	114.0	105.1
season	14.6	16.3		103.2	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	12.8	12.4	14.0	15.4	15.1	13.8
UTA	18.5	15.3	15.4	14.6	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	31	31	0.55	-1.05	1.61	-0.03	20	-23	43	13.6	13.8	-0.26	14.6	16.5	-1.93
Lavoy Allen	46	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-3	3	14.3	13.4	0.91	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Rodney Stuckey	67	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-5	7	13.0	15.0	-1.93	15.8	16.1	-0.27
CJ Miles	69	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-1	-1	14.0	13.3	0.74	16.2	15.6	0.61
Ian Mahinmi	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	9	-21	13.7	13.8	-0.16	17.8	14.5	3.32
George Hill	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.1	12.5	1.64	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Monta Ellis	60	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	6	-15	14.1	13.3	0.84	16.8	14.8	1.95
Paul George	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.30	-12	9	-21	13.8	13.7	0.03	16.2	15.1	1.10
Jordan Hill	48	48	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.83	1	-4	5	13.0	14.4	-1.35	15.1	16.6	-1.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	68	68	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.75	1	2	-1	15.4	16.8	-1.40	13.4	14.4	-0.93
Trevor Booker	50	47	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.54	6	-3	9	14.8	16.9	-2.09	13.9	13.6	0.26
Derrick Favors	86	87	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	0	3	16.3	14.7	1.54	13.8	13.6	0.14
Gordon Hayward	87	86	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	7	-11	16.1	15.5	0.56	14.0	12.6	1.43
Trey Burke	69	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-3	9	15.8	16.2	-0.32	13.8	13.7	0.07
Trey Lyles	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	-8	19	17.5	15.1	2.43	14.7	13.2	1.50
Rodney Hood	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.22	13	-10	23	16.3	15.8	0.52	15.3	12.8	2.51
Raul Neto	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	4	-5	17.1	15.4	1.66	13.8	13.7	0.07
Jeff Withey	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	3	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.54	13.6	13.8	-0.14
Elijah Millsap	24	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	15.2	16.2	-1.01	11.0	14.6	-3.51
Joe Ingles	5	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	11	-19	18.6	15.8	2.78	9.5	14.0	-4.52
Chris Johnson	13	14	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	14.7	16.1	-1.44	12.3	14.0	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,1	88.6%
CHH 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1	88.3%
MIA 95, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.69,1	88.2%