NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	89		Excitement	9.6 [74]		MVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): +30.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	356.1 [5]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -33.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.04	-0.06	0.05	-0.05	23	49%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.08
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
George Lynch	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.05	-0.16	-0.02	5	45%	-0.19	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	16	42%	-0.15	4	-0.13	4	0%	-0.11
David Wesley	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.32	-0.09	-0.25	-0.02	14	28%	-0.32	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	0.00	6	100%	0.33	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.06	0.33	-0.01	7	29%	0.38	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	11	37%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.22	-0.01	23	38%	-0.25	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	46.2	1.8	27.2	15.7	24.1	1.8	37.1	1.5	19.0	174.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +90.0%

CHH -12.2%

CHH -40.6%

SEA +10.9%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SEA	NBA	CHH	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	15.8	15.6	92.7	94.8	102.3
season	15.9	16.0		102.2	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	19.1	16.8	16.5	14.8	21.8	17.2
SEA	16.1	16.0	17.0	15.8	11.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	61	62	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-9	15	16.9	17.7	-0.78	15.6	16.0	-0.40
P.J. Brown	47	48	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	17.7	16.7	1.09	16.5	15.1	1.40
Elden Campbell	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	18.2	16.7	1.51	16.1	15.6	0.42
Lee Nailon	24	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	15.8	17.6	-1.81	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Stacey Augmon	17	16	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	3	-9	14.5	17.8	-3.23	16.5	15.6	0.87
Jamal Mashburn	88	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-4	5	17.5	13.4	4.16	15.7	16.3	-0.55
David Wesley	64	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	16.1	19.3	-3.14	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Baron Davis	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	17.5	15.4	2.10	15.6	16.5	-0.87
George Lynch	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	7	-17	17.9	15.4	2.47	15.8	15.7	0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	52	52	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.71	6	-3	9	15.5	16.1	-0.67	16.7	17.7	-0.95
Desmond Mason	59	59	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.52	9	-6	15	14.2	18.2	-3.92	16.6	18.1	-1.45
Predrag Drobnjak	43	41	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.78	-5	8	-13	15.4	16.0	-0.60	17.2	17.1	0.10
Gary Payton	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	3	-3	15.7	16.4	-0.77	17.9	13.4	4.49
Rashard Lewis	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	2	-1	15.8	15.8	-0.02	17.2	17.0	0.25
Art Long	23	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	15.9	15.7	0.18	17.7	17.1	0.61
Jerome James	29	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.22	0	3	-3	17.1	15.2	1.95	18.2	16.7	1.47
Brent Barry	60	61	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.36	4	-1	5	16.0	15.3	0.73	16.6	18.3	-1.68
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	62	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.30	-2	5	-7	16.9	13.7	3.23	17.0	17.5	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.02,0.54,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.41,1	91.9%
DET 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.6%
IND 119, UTA 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.42,1	88.3%