inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement11.2 [33] MVPChris Quinn (MIA): +96.0%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback17.0 [66] LVPDorell Wright (MIA): -29.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kwame Brown0.280,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.280.010.290.021350%0.311-0.04862%-0.03
Rasheed Wallace0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.26,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.030.001155%0.051-0.03757%-0.29
Tayshaun Prince0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter Herrmann-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.02-0.001336%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Amir Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00436%-0.0200.0030%-0.06
Arron Afflalo-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.03-0.001350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.001248%0.063-0.097100%0.04
Will Bynum-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.33,-0.28,-0.2,-0.11,0.05,-0.1-0.05-0.050.001840%0.031-0.134100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.21,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.960.960.190.800.031381%1.041-0.08650%-0.08
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.18,0.180.180.080.120.011061%0.1800.00367%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00959%0.111-0.024100%0.03
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.011958%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00367%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.00350%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.02737%-0.022-0.05250%-0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.00533%-0.022-0.072100%0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.11-0.180.001027%-0.222-0.0720%-0.11
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.427.716.626.42.437.51.611.0148.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +76.9%
DET -3.9%
DET -8.0%
DET -15.2%
MIA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game16.617.815.5103.2110.9106.4
season16.916.0104.9105.9
opponent15.715.7105.7106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET17.416.017.916.414.116.6
MIA17.817.617.217.919.217.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arron Afflalo79780.09-0.590.67-0.034-101416.318.7-2.4517.320.0-2.65
Amir Johnson40370.02-0.520.53-0.011-7817.216.20.9916.918.3-1.39
Rasheed Wallace1615-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-1-419.915.93.9916.318.0-1.77
Tayshaun Prince1615-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-1-419.915.93.9916.318.0-1.77
Rodney Stuckey6259-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-3017.814.33.5617.717.8-0.15
Walter Herrmann6665-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.291-7815.918.5-2.6017.618.0-0.35
Kwame Brown7573-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-5-1-415.820.2-4.3818.116.61.48
Jason Maxiell5659-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-3016.117.4-1.2418.316.81.45
Will Bynum4650-0.580.08-0.65-0.31-93-1216.416.8-0.4018.816.52.21

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire47470.320.180.140.35-17-817.817.70.0816.616.60.01
James Jones65660.290.210.080.2615-417.717.8-0.0415.719.0-3.28
Chris Quinn55550.290.210.070.2906-617.717.8-0.0615.817.9-2.09
Dorell Wright55560.260.240.020.32-28-1016.919.0-2.1415.518.4-2.90
Joel Anthony58580.230.27-0.030.0660617.418.4-1.0016.317.1-0.77
Mario Chalmers37380.210.29-0.070.0460617.817.70.0617.915.82.09
Michael Beasley32320.160.34-0.190.0442218.717.31.3917.016.40.61
Mark Blount15140.100.40-0.30-0.0242219.117.51.5718.716.32.45
Daequan Cook51510.070.43-0.36-0.0442218.017.40.5618.814.04.85
Yakhouba Diawara36390.070.43-0.360.0124-217.617.9-0.3217.016.40.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 89, SEA 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,189.6%
NYK 111, PHX 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,189.1%
POR 105, HOU 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.68,0.54,0.65,0.58,189.1%