inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 105 Excitement11.4 [16] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +17.6%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback5.4 [164] LVPLuis Scola (HOU): -24.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.180.18-0.01-0.011581%0.273-0.09683%0.01
Craig Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.000.00569%0.0700.00650%-0.04
Nolan Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.011241%-0.013-0.103100%0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.030.012142%0.062-0.171080%-0.02
Wesley Matthews-0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.070.01831%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.090.001236%-0.093-0.12450%-0.08
Raymond Felton-0.220,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22-0.02-0.190.011250%-0.072-0.16250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.020.02-0.000.020.002249%0.133-0.111392%0.07
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.02237%0.011-0.01475%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01550%0.052-0.092100%0.02
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00633%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.04-0.100.011653%0.021-0.102100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.08,-0.23,-0.23-0.230.07-0.280.022658%0.124-0.35580%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.11-0.14-0.00743%0.015-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.62.430.015.027.60.230.11.719.1151.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +1.9%
HOU +18.8%
HOU +58.6%
POR -32.5%
HOU +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game16.415.115.6105.0104.9102.8
season15.715.4104.1103.5
opponent15.515.4103.2104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
POR15.915.217.719.412.116.4
HOU16.812.513.617.616.315.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kurt Thomas38390.07-0.570.63-0.023-5815.716.9-1.2015.414.90.55
Nolan Smith870.06-0.560.61-0.033-5813.716.6-2.8812.115.3-3.17
Jamal Crawford54570.04-0.540.58-0.146-81416.815.90.9015.215.00.18
Craig Smith2829-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-20-217.116.11.0314.515.3-0.81
Raymond Felton7274-0.22-0.280.05-0.282-4616.516.00.5115.913.02.89
Gerald Wallace6667-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-42-616.516.20.3415.614.21.37
Nicolas Batum7981-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.481-3416.316.8-0.4614.716.7-2.04
LaMarcus Aldridge8888-0.600.10-0.70-0.42-64-1016.614.91.6915.512.62.85
Wesley Matthews6768-0.890.39-1.28-0.51-1311-2416.117.1-0.9914.117.2-3.12

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry92890.69-0.190.870.3611-92015.511.34.2117.011.75.25
Samuel Dalembert48490.51-0.010.510.423-1417.013.43.6716.716.10.58
Kevin Martin96940.450.050.410.48-13-415.114.30.8116.318.3-2.06
Luis Scola60610.440.060.380.0912-102215.214.90.3716.416.4-0.02
Chase Budinger77750.330.170.150.3302-214.816.2-1.4116.117.3-1.17
Jordan Hill43400.310.190.110.078-61412.916.7-3.7916.716.20.50
Chandler Parsons32300.020.48-0.460.19-68-1416.514.52.0016.816.20.52
Patrick Patterson4645-0.100.60-0.690.23-1113-2414.515.6-1.0116.116.7-0.61
Goran Dragic1617-0.140.64-0.780.04-68-1412.415.6-3.1614.116.9-2.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.68,0.54,0.65,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, NYK 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,189.2%
DET 96, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,189.1%
NYK 111, PHX 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,188.8%