NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	11.4 [16]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +17.6%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	5.4 [164]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -24.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	-0.01	-0.01	15	81%	0.27	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Nolan Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	41%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	21	42%	0.06	2	-0.17	10	80%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	12	36%	-0.09	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.08
Raymond Felton	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.01	12	50%	-0.07	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	22	49%	0.13	3	-0.11	13	92%	0.07
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	16	53%	0.02	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.08,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	0.07	-0.28	0.02	26	58%	0.12	4	-0.35	5	80%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	30.0	15.0	27.6	0.2	30.1	1.7	19.1	151.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +1.9%

HOU +18.8%

HOU +58.6%

POR -32.5%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.6	105.0	104.9	102.8
season	15.7	15.4		104.1	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.9	15.2	17.7	19.4	12.1	16.4
HOU	16.8	12.5	13.6	17.6	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	38	39	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	15.7	16.9	-1.20	15.4	14.9	0.55
Nolan Smith	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	13.7	16.6	-2.88	12.1	15.3	-3.17
Jamal Crawford	54	57	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-8	14	16.8	15.9	0.90	15.2	15.0	0.18
Craig Smith	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	0	-2	17.1	16.1	1.03	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Raymond Felton	72	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-4	6	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.9	13.0	2.89
Gerald Wallace	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	2	-6	16.5	16.2	0.34	15.6	14.2	1.37
Nicolas Batum	79	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	16.3	16.8	-0.46	14.7	16.7	-2.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	88	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	4	-10	16.6	14.9	1.69	15.5	12.6	2.85
Wesley Matthews	67	68	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.51	-13	11	-24	16.1	17.1	-0.99	14.1	17.2	-3.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	92	89	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-9	20	15.5	11.3	4.21	17.0	11.7	5.25
Samuel Dalembert	48	49	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	17.0	13.4	3.67	16.7	16.1	0.58
Kevin Martin	96	94	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.3	0.81	16.3	18.3	-2.06
Luis Scola	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-10	22	15.2	14.9	0.37	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Chase Budinger	77	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	2	-2	14.8	16.2	-1.41	16.1	17.3	-1.17
Jordan Hill	43	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-6	14	12.9	16.7	-3.79	16.7	16.2	0.50
Chandler Parsons	32	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	8	-14	16.5	14.5	2.00	16.8	16.2	0.52
Patrick Patterson	46	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.23	-11	13	-24	14.5	15.6	-1.01	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Goran Dragic	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	12.4	15.6	-3.16	14.1	16.9	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.68,0.54,0.65,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	89.2%
DET 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.1%
NYK 111, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,1	88.8%