NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	4.8 [835]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +9.7%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	6.5 [279]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	20	60%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	6	79%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	10	52%	-0.09	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	14	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.05	11	75%	0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	16	47%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	51%	-0.01	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	29.4	19.7	27.0	3.4	39.7	145.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.8%

IND +5.3%

IND +10.5%

IND +12.7%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	18.2	15.2	95.2	107.3	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	17.2	17.8	15.4	16.7
IND	18.4	17.9	18.2	18.2	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-10	11	17.3	15.6	1.70	18.1	18.4	-0.37
Kurt Thomas	40	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	16.7	16.7	0.08	18.3	18.1	0.25
Chris Childs	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	3	-15	16.2	17.2	-0.99	16.5	19.7	-3.23
Charlie Ward	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-8	7	16.1	17.6	-1.44	18.3	18.0	0.35
Marcus Camby	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	1	-11	16.4	17.0	-0.62	17.5	18.9	-1.39
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-9	9	16.6	17.4	-0.78	18.5	14.4	4.05
Latrell Sprewell	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	16.6	17.1	-0.43	18.4	17.5	0.88
Patrick Ewing	48	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	5	-19	17.5	15.6	1.87	19.4	16.5	2.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	40	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.09	25	-16	41	18.9	17.5	1.40	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Reggie Miller	73	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	18.2	18.7	-0.52	17.2	12.4	4.80
Travis Best	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-6	21	18.0	18.5	-0.57	16.4	17.1	-0.66
Derrick McKey	39	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	17.5	18.8	-1.28	15.5	17.8	-2.24
Jalen Rose	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	9	-9	18.5	16.6	1.90	16.7	16.7	0.05
Dale Davis	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.36	-3	12	-15	18.5	17.6	0.87	17.0	16.0	1.00
Mark Jackson	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	15	-21	18.5	18.0	0.57	17.1	16.4	0.66
Austin Croshere	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	1	7	16.9	19.0	-2.06	16.0	17.1	-1.15
Rik Smits	19	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.24	-13	22	-35	18.5	18.1	0.42	17.4	16.5	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	93.9%
NYK 105, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
UTA 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%