inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 87 Excitement5.8 [614] MVPNick Van Exel (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Comeback5.8 [244] LVPGreg Ostertag (UTA): -18.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shandon Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.011751%0.0300.00771%0.01
Antoine Carr0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Troy Hudson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01360%-0.0100.004100%0.04
Bryon Russell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.02333%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Karl Malone-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021454%0.003-0.06967%-0.02
Greg Foster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.0030%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chris Morris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.03-0.05735%-0.0710.00683%0.02
Howard Eisley-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.020.071348%-0.052-0.061100%0.01
Jeff Hornacek-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.01733%-0.043-0.081100%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.050.02345%-0.083-0.08560%-0.03
Greg Ostertag-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.04-0.02119%-0.151-0.0400%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.160.030.021376%0.1800.00367%-0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.030.041464%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01440%-0.0000.0020%-0.03
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.04-0.001046%0.032-0.04450%-0.02
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.021357%0.011-0.051493%0.03
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00537%-0.0800.00667%-0.03
Rick Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01844%-0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Sean Rooks0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.01855%-0.013-0.10667%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.90.029.515.732.32.629.5136.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +69.6%
UTA -11.7%
UTA -13.7%
LAL +9.0%
UTA -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTALALNBAUTALALNBA
this game16.514.715.694.6111.8102.5
season15.914.8108.1110.0
opponent15.615.9102.6102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.016.816.016.216.5
LAL14.315.314.015.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn35340.10-0.600.69-0.117-243113.618.3-4.7114.414.8-0.43
Greg Ostertag35360.01-0.510.52-0.052-192117.016.20.8714.614.7-0.12
Troy Hudson660.00-0.500.500.000-171710.516.9-6.4117.314.52.86
Antoine Carr1615-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-13915.916.6-0.6718.114.04.07
Adam Keefe2323-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-171715.416.8-1.4115.214.50.75
Shandon Anderson7171-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-11515.220.9-5.6615.312.62.65
Chris Morris3029-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-7-315.816.8-1.0213.915.0-1.10
Greg Foster2323-0.30-0.20-0.090.08-13-4-916.316.6-0.3013.615.0-1.45
Bryon Russell4849-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-7-317.615.22.4215.713.52.24
Jeff Hornacek4648-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-3-1118.015.02.9313.416.0-2.56
Karl Malone7072-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-4-917.114.52.6713.717.9-4.13
Howard Eisley5759-0.600.10-0.690.11-247-3118.313.64.7114.814.40.43

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant65630.51-0.010.53-0.0118-11914.016.2-2.2316.616.30.31
Rick Fox50500.490.010.49-0.0619-22114.315.1-0.8617.815.02.83
Robert Horry83830.380.120.26-0.00134914.516.0-1.5116.417.7-1.31
Nick Van Exel59570.360.140.23-0.2220-32313.916.0-2.0717.514.82.68
Sean Rooks59600.250.250.010.0289-113.416.8-3.3717.614.43.24
Eddie Jones65660.240.26-0.03-0.0398115.712.23.4416.416.7-0.34
Corie Blount39370.180.32-0.13-0.02710-317.012.94.0814.218.0-3.85
Derek Fisher30310.140.36-0.230.14017-1715.914.11.7915.517.0-1.42
Jon Barry1513-0.060.56-0.620.20-926-3514.514.7-0.1511.517.3-5.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 99, CHA 1100.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%
NYK 79, IND 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,193.4%
CLE 124, NOP 1400.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,192.7%