NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	5.4 [775]		MVP	Jaron Blossomgame (CLE): +23.4%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	4.1 [903]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -11.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaron Blossomgame	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.01	8	94%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.02	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ante Zizic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rodney Hood	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.03	19	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Collin Sexton	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	15	37%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	26	53%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	27.3	14.5	25.7	1.8	25.4	118.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +22.7%

CHA +5.4%

CHA +24.9%

CLE -1.1%

CLE -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	14.3	103.1	118.3	109.3
season	15.5	14.6		106.3	110.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		111.6	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	17.2	18.3	13.8	15.8
CHA	16.5	14.1	13.0	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ante Zizic	32	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-4	-3	17.2	15.1	2.02	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Larry Nance Jr.	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-12	13	15.1	17.4	-2.34	15.4	12.6	2.87
David Nwaba	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-3	-5	17.4	15.0	2.34	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Collin Sexton	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	15.5	16.2	-0.68	15.2	14.0	1.15
Alec Burks	52	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	16.0	15.6	0.45	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Jaron Blossomgame	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.7	16.9	-2.20	14.1	15.2	-1.16
Cedi Osman	54	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	16.3	15.2	1.06	15.2	14.0	1.13
Rodney Hood	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	16.2	14.7	1.59	14.9	14.0	0.91
Jordan Clarkson	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	15.2	17.5	-2.31	14.4	15.4	-1.04

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	82	86	0.69	-0.20	0.89	0.05	22	-11	33	14.1	18.8	-4.73	16.0	14.3	1.69
Kemba Walker	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.2	14.4	1.82
Cody Zeller	53	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	14.1	15.4	-1.32	16.3	15.2	1.09
Marvin Williams	73	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	2	7	15.2	12.6	2.54	16.0	15.0	1.04
Nicolas Batum	57	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-1	13	14.2	15.3	-1.08	17.1	13.9	3.13
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	40	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	8	-5	13.8	15.3	-1.44	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Tony Parker	46	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	16	-21	15.5	13.9	1.61	13.8	17.7	-3.93
Frank Kaminsky	7	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	10	-9	16.3	14.5	1.77	20.2	15.5	4.64
Willy Hernangomez	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	15	-19	16.6	14.5	2.17	11.6	16.2	-4.57
Miles Bridges	27	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	23	-35	15.7	14.2	1.54	13.9	16.6	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NJN 102, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
BKN 97, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.8%