NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	5.9 [630]		MVP	Jared Dudley (MIL): +24.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	6.5 [361]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -18.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Mason Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.16	-0.06	0.12	15	81%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Cory Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.07	0.01	10	95%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	15	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.3	15.7	33.1	2.4	27.3	132.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -5.1%

MIL +23.2%

MIL +10.0%

MIL +18.6%

MIL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.1	106.6	112.0	104.2
season	15.3	14.5		102.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.1	15.8	15.7	16.0	15.9
MIL	17.3	16.2	13.1	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	65	67	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.41	15	-21	36	15.9	16.0	-0.08	16.1	14.1	2.00
Cory Jefferson	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-6	6	18.1	15.3	2.88	14.7	15.8	-1.18
Kevin Garnett	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.4	15.3	2.01	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Brook Lopez	41	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-12	18	13.3	18.0	-4.70	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Deron Williams	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	1	-8	15.0	16.7	-1.70	15.7	15.5	0.23
Mason Plumlee	50	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	6	-18	18.0	13.3	4.70	15.6	15.6	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.8	-1.53	15.6	15.6	0.04
Joe Johnson	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.0	15.4	0.56	15.7	14.7	1.05
Alan Anderson	78	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.19	-15	9	-24	15.7	16.9	-1.19	15.3	16.9	-1.54

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-4	14	15.1	16.4	-1.33	15.7	16.3	-0.68
Giannis Antetokounmpo	60	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-16	38	15.1	16.5	-1.42	16.3	15.2	1.12
Jared Dudley	62	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-9	24	15.5	15.8	-0.38	16.2	15.2	0.99
Zaza Pachulia	33	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	2	2	15.0	15.9	-0.85	13.7	17.2	-3.51
Brandon Knight	57	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	8	-10	15.6	15.5	0.19	16.3	15.3	1.06
John Henson	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	7	-8	16.7	14.5	2.21	17.7	14.3	3.36
Jorge Gutierrez	17	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	-1	8	15.8	15.5	0.30	16.1	15.9	0.27
O.J. Mayo	47	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.37	-8	14	-22	15.7	15.4	0.34	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Jerryd Bayless	52	52	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	13	-20	15.8	15.2	0.62	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Ersan Ilyasova	30	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	16	-26	15.7	15.5	0.13	16.1	15.8	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 102, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
SAC 114, LAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	94.0%