NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Excitement	5.8 [712]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +28.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	140		Comeback	4.8 [861]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Payne	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	8	89%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	8	94%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ante Zizic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jaron Blossomgame	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.03	0.09	7	77%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	12	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.28	0.08	0.08	17	76%	0.30	1	-0.02	16	94%	0.07
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.06	0.04	5	112%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.06	8	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.03
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	27.5	14.7	34.4	2.4	32.6	136.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +27.4%

NOP +16.4%

NOP +6.4%

NOP +1.3%

CLE -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOP	NBA	CLE	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	12.3	14.3	115.9	132.1	109.3
season	15.5	13.4		106.3	110.2
opponent	14.2	13.9		111.5	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	14.2	15.8	14.0	14.7
NOP	13.9	13.0	10.5	12.2	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ante Zizic	47	47	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-28	40	12.4	16.5	-4.06	13.4	11.5	1.93
Jaron Blossomgame	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.8	15.0	-2.20	11.5	12.4	-0.94
Jalen Jones	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-12	8	13.1	15.8	-2.73	13.0	11.9	1.09
Cameron Payne	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-14	12	13.2	16.2	-3.01	12.5	12.2	0.30
Channing Frye	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-9	2	19.3	13.6	5.66	12.6	12.3	0.39
Matthew Dellavedova	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-16	16	14.0	15.2	-1.21	12.8	12.0	0.84
Jordan Clarkson	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	13.3	17.1	-3.78	12.5	11.9	0.60
Alec Burks	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-1	-14	15.4	13.9	1.46	12.0	12.7	-0.69
Tristan Thompson	63	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	6	-28	16.0	12.8	3.20	11.9	12.9	-1.05
Cedi Osman	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	-1	-14	16.2	11.8	4.42	11.8	13.4	-1.65
Collin Sexton	54	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	5	-26	16.3	13.0	3.30	11.7	13.0	-1.30

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	79	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.11	28	-12	40	11.9	13.6	-1.64	15.7	11.6	4.16
Jrue Holiday	77	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.09	25	-9	34	12.2	12.6	-0.35	15.7	11.9	3.80
Anthony Davis	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	4	8	12.4	12.0	0.48	14.9	14.1	0.76
Julius Randle	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	2	12	12.0	12.7	-0.66	16.1	13.1	3.04
Elfrid Payton	60	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	7	2	12.3	12.4	-0.07	14.9	14.5	0.38
Nikola Mirotic	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	12.4	12.2	0.20	13.3	16.0	-2.73
Tim Frazier	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	14	-12	12.9	12.0	0.89	14.1	15.0	-0.96
Frank Jackson	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	19	-22	12.5	12.2	0.22	13.2	15.9	-2.72
Jahlil Okafor	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	14	-12	12.6	12.3	0.30	13.7	15.0	-1.28
Kenrich Williams	17	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.15	-14	30	-44	13.1	12.2	0.87	10.1	15.6	-5.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, UTA 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 103, DAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 99, CHA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%