NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	5.9 [591]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	4.3 [164]		LVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): -22.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Edwards	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	54%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	17%	-0.06
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	13	47%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.02	16	50%	-0.12	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.01	6	44%	-0.06	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	71%	0.16	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	48%	-0.05	2	-0.04	9	89%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	6	31%	-0.07	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	35.2	16.8	30.6	2.6	39.4	151.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.0%

BOS +11.0%

BOS +1.6%

NJN -5.3%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	12.8	15.6	93.0	100.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.1		104.9	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	13.1	18.8	16.7	15.9
BOS	13.7	13.1	14.0	10.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	13	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-15	22	16.2	15.9	0.37	11.5	12.9	-1.40
Xavier McDaniel	24	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	14.4	16.4	-2.02	11.7	13.1	-1.38
Michael Cage	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	13.0	16.4	-3.38	14.3	12.5	1.77
Kevin Edwards	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	15.3	16.4	-1.07	11.7	13.7	-1.94
Sherman Douglas	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	16.5	15.4	1.09	12.2	13.2	-0.93
Sam Cassell	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	1	-10	16.0	15.8	0.24	13.8	11.5	2.30
Kendall Gill	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	15.3	17.8	-2.51	12.7	13.0	-0.32
Jayson Williams	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	16.1	15.4	0.70	12.6	13.2	-0.53
Kerry Kittles	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	16.9	12.8	4.05	13.2	11.2	1.98
Chris Gatling	75	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	6	-20	16.3	14.7	1.59	12.9	12.2	0.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	65	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	1	6	11.6	14.9	-3.30	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Antoine Walker	77	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-1	10	12.7	12.9	-0.15	15.4	18.0	-2.65
Dee Brown	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	3	2	14.2	11.3	2.94	16.3	15.5	0.83
Tyus Edney	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	10.5	14.4	-3.83	16.7	15.4	1.35
Dana Barros	23	21	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	0	8	14.0	12.4	1.55	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Pervis Ellison	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	2	4	11.0	13.5	-2.49	17.6	15.3	2.30
Andrew DeClercq	24	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	14.1	12.3	1.79	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Walter McCarty	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	6	-4	13.9	11.8	2.04	16.1	15.8	0.33
Ron Mercer	49	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	8	-8	11.4	14.1	-2.71	15.8	16.0	-0.20
John Thomas	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	11.9	13.0	-1.08	18.3	15.3	2.97
Chauncey Billups	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	14.2	11.9	2.32	14.6	16.8	-2.14
Travis Knight	41	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	14	-20	14.4	11.6	2.82	16.2	15.7	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	94.0%
NYK 79, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%