NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	5.7 [692]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +13.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	5.9 [536]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.02	-0.01	20	71%	0.23	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	21	56%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	13	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.05	3	93%	0.11	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	22	67%	0.20	6	-0.10	13	69%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.02	17	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.7	31.2	16.6	24.7	2.8	31.4	137.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +11.0%

OKC +3.1%

OKC +25.5%

OKC +11.4%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.8	104.0	116.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.0		106.6	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.7		106.7	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	16.5	14.0	16.9	15.4
OKC	13.7	11.6	13.7	13.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	25	23	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-13	15	14.0	15.9	-1.91	13.4	13.2	0.24
Lance Thomas	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-6	1	16.3	15.1	1.28	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Ron Baker	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.3	15.5	-0.18	13.4	13.1	0.28
Justin Holiday	37	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-2	-7	13.7	16.4	-2.73	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Kristaps Porzingis	69	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-10	9	15.1	16.2	-1.05	13.2	13.3	-0.18
Carmelo Anthony	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.0	1.89	13.3	12.9	0.39
Derrick Rose	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	-1	-9	15.5	15.3	0.13	13.2	13.1	0.08
Willy Hernangomez	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	1	-13	15.9	14.5	1.45	13.2	13.3	-0.14
Courtney Lee	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	1	-13	15.8	13.8	2.04	13.2	13.1	0.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	79	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-15	41	13.1	13.8	-0.70	15.7	14.3	1.43
Andre Roberson	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	13.4	12.8	0.54	15.9	14.4	1.51
Steven Adams	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	13.3	13.0	0.37	15.6	15.2	0.42
Russell Westbrook	78	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-2	15	13.2	13.4	-0.20	15.6	14.9	0.67
Domantas Sabonis	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	9	-7	12.8	13.7	-0.90	16.1	14.8	1.29
Jerami Grant	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	13.6	12.9	0.67	15.7	15.1	0.60
Anthony Morrow	14	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	12	-13	14.8	13.0	1.83	12.1	16.1	-4.06
Cameron Payne	26	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	16	-21	13.3	13.2	0.18	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Alex Abrines	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	14	-17	12.3	13.7	-1.42	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Joffrey Lauvergne	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	16	-21	13.4	13.1	0.31	14.6	15.9	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	93.8%
NYK 79, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.7%
SAC 85, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%