NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	5.2 [760]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +7.7%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	5.1 [703]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -15.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	6	92%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	47%	-0.04	4	-0.08	10	70%	-0.03
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	17	26%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	19	65%	0.18	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	71%	0.12	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	125%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	17	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.6	2.4	24.4	15.7	22.2	2.3	38.6	143.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +41.8%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +13.6%

SEA -9.2%

SEA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.5	92.1	95.6	100.9
season	15.2	16.0		103.8	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.6	17.6	16.1	13.7	16.2
UTA	18.4	13.7	15.9	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-11	18	15.0	17.3	-2.30	16.3	15.7	0.56
Jelani McCoy	47	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-4	4	16.7	15.6	1.13	16.0	16.0	0.07
Shammond Williams	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	1	-6	17.8	15.7	2.06	13.6	16.7	-3.10
Ruben Patterson	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-1	-2	16.1	16.5	-0.42	16.1	15.8	0.29
Vin Baker	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	1	-6	15.7	17.1	-1.42	16.0	16.0	0.07
Gary Payton	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	16.1	16.6	-0.53	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Patrick Ewing	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	16.5	14.9	1.60	16.5	14.3	2.15
Desmond Mason	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	4	-12	16.4	15.6	0.74	16.2	15.4	0.79

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-3	10	16.2	15.6	0.53	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Greg Ostertag	54	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-9	22	15.4	17.0	-1.60	15.8	16.7	-0.87
John Stockton	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-1	6	15.0	17.8	-2.81	16.6	15.5	1.04
Bryon Russell	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-2	8	15.4	16.7	-1.28	15.4	17.1	-1.78
Donyell Marshall	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	6	-8	16.1	15.7	0.48	15.9	17.0	-1.16
John Starks	53	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	0	4	15.4	16.9	-1.54	16.3	15.9	0.39
Jacque Vaughn	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	5	-6	17.8	15.0	2.81	15.5	16.6	-1.04
Olden Polynice	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	12	-20	18.1	14.8	3.33	17.3	15.5	1.83
John Crotty	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	17.5	15.8	1.70	18.5	15.8	2.78
Danny Manning	24	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.6	16.2	-0.53	16.6	16.0	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.8%
NYK 105, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%