NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	7.0 [412]		MVP	Quincy Lewis (UTA): +8.1%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.1 [866]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -17.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	67%	0.13	1	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	0.04	-0.14	0.01	10	66%	-0.03	1	-0.08	9	67%	-0.05
Greg Anthony	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	5	30%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	9	30%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	44%	-0.05	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.01	20	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.03
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	8	41%	-0.13	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.4	1.8	36.0	18.8	30.3	2.8	40.2	164.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.4%

POR -4.3%

UTA +5.4%

UTA +15.0%

UTA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.2	94.4	100.0	101.7
season	15.9	16.3		105.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	14.5	15.7	16.1	15.9
UTA	14.6	16.2	15.6	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	0.0	16.1	-16.08	10.0	16.5	-6.54
Bonzi Wells	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-5	7	16.9	15.6	1.31	19.9	15.6	4.23
Arvydas Sabonis	49	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-2	1	16.7	15.0	1.65	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Greg Anthony	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-9	15	15.1	16.6	-1.43	18.4	14.9	3.55
Brian Grant	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.7	16.2	-0.50	18.1	14.5	3.51
Damon Stoudamire	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	6	-15	16.6	15.1	1.43	14.9	18.4	-3.55
Detlef Schrempf	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-1	-1	16.1	15.7	0.39	17.8	15.0	2.79
Scottie Pippen	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	1	-5	15.4	16.7	-1.33	15.5	18.0	-2.50
Steven Smith	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	1	-5	15.6	16.2	-0.59	15.7	17.5	-1.83
Rasheed Wallace	70	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.7	19.1	-3.37

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	78	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.44	5	-2	7	16.6	15.6	0.98	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Jeff Hornacek	64	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.8	15.7	1.10	16.1	15.3	0.74
Bryon Russell	67	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.8	18.5	-2.64	16.0	15.5	0.45
John Stockton	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	15.7	19.3	-3.57	16.2	14.9	1.22
Olden Polynice	70	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-1	5	16.0	18.4	-2.42	16.3	14.3	2.03
Quincy Lewis	19	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	0	3	15.5	16.7	-1.20	17.4	15.5	1.86
Jacque Vaughn	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	4	-5	20.4	15.9	4.45	16.2	15.9	0.32
Armen Gilliam	28	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	6	-9	17.4	16.0	1.36	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Scott Padgett	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	17.5	16.2	1.29	13.7	16.3	-2.60
Howard Eisley	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	11	-19	18.3	16.0	2.36	14.0	16.4	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 75, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.99,1,1	93.7%
NYK 95, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
LAL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	93.2%