NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	7.7 [270]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.3 [794]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	13	67%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.08	0.06	-0.12	0.02	30	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Jordan Farmar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.04	0.20	-0.02	14	42%	0.24	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.07
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	10	74%	0.27	3	-0.11	14	93%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	14	44%	0.04	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	13	44%	0.02	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.8	3.5	32.4	20.3	31.5	3.7	43.3	169.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +52.6%

ORL +17.1%

ORL +28.7%

LAL -46.6%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.3	103.3	106.7	106.0
season	15.7	15.4		107.9	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	15.5	15.3	16.2	15.8
ORL	13.1	16.5	18.3	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	35	37	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.10	10	-12	22	15.6	16.0	-0.45	17.7	14.8	2.98
Shannon Brown	34	33	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-5	8	16.1	15.7	0.34	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Josh Powell	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	15.9	15.8	0.03	11.0	16.5	-5.46
Jordan Farmar	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-4	6	15.4	16.1	-0.63	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Derek Fisher	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	2	-6	16.1	15.4	0.63	16.4	15.3	1.10
Lamar Odom	63	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-2	2	15.9	15.7	0.24	16.2	15.5	0.68
Kobe Bryant	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.0	1.03	16.0	15.7	0.37
Metta World Peace	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	15.6	17.0	-1.44	16.1	15.6	0.46
Pau Gasol	76	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	7	-16	15.9	15.5	0.37	15.5	18.4	-2.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	60	60	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.49	8	-6	14	16.4	15.1	1.27	15.9	15.6	0.30
Vince Carter	66	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-10	22	15.4	17.5	-2.08	16.2	14.9	1.28
Dwight Howard	59	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-3	8	16.2	15.6	0.56	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Jameer Nelson	59	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-4	10	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.2	15.1	1.06
Rashard Lewis	72	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	4	-6	16.6	13.4	3.17	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Brandon Bass	18	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	13.4	16.6	-3.17	16.0	15.8	0.19
Jason Williams	31	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	6	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.39	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Marcin Gortat	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	5	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.56	16.4	15.5	0.87
Mickael Pietrus	36	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	11	-20	15.3	16.4	-1.12	15.5	16.1	-0.55
JJ Redick	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	9	-16	17.9	15.5	2.46	14.9	16.1	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 75, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.99,1,1	93.5%
POR 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	93.3%
POR 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.96,0.98,1	93.2%